TABLE 4: Distribution of thyroid nodule type by gender.

Male (%)

Female (%)

Total

Adenomatous nodules

8 (25)

24 (75)

32

Adenomas

2 (29)

5 (71)

7

Occult papillary
carcinomas

2 (29)

5 (71)

7

Carcinomas

1 (10)

9 (90)

10

Total

13 (23)

43 (77)

56*

* The total number of nodules exceeds the number of surgeries because four patients had two dregories of

nodules.

3) Whatwas therelation of radiation dose to time
of nodule detection?
The strong correlation between higher dose
and earlier nodule developmentis shown in Fig. 5.
While this graph gives an overview of the
epidemic in relation to dose, it offers little
understanding of the role of the variables that
shapedit.
The predominant nodule type was the

children one to six years of age. Three pf these
children were on Utirik (ages: 1, 5, and § years).
The correlation between dose and fime to

adenomatous nodule, the ratio of these to all

other types being 4:3. Adenomatousnodules are
not neoplastic. Therefore, Fig. 5 predominantly
describes the relation of radiation dose to nonneoplastic nodular disease.
Secondly, the
prominent association of higher radiation dose
with early nodule development is influenced by
age-related variability in susceptibility to thyroid
cancer (NRC BEIR V, 1990) and benign tumors
(Ron etal., 1989; Shore et al., 1985). The mean
age of the Rongelap people at the time of
exposure was 27.6 years, but the range of ages was
0 (there were 4 persons in utero) to >80 years,
and susceptibility would have varied accordingly.
Inferences concerning dose and time to
development of adenomatous nodules can be
extracted from data on persons exposed at
equivalent ages, thereby controlling for
susceptibility.
In Figure 6 the time to
developmentof nodulesis graphed against dose in

until ten years after exposure and after [he first

nodules had been detected. Therefore, the Effect of

thyroid suppression on development off thyroid
nodules was not of consideration for theffirst 10
years after exposure.
In addition almost all
adenomatous nodules in this group had
been
identified within five years of initiation of thyroxine
suppression.
A similar age-controlled analysis for the other
three nodule types is not useful because there are
too few observations per group.

4) What was the relation between nodule
development and age at exposure?
The relation of nodule type to dose anf age at
exposure is shown in Fig. 7a-d. The graphsfindicate
a similarity in the age- and dosq@related
developmentof all four nodule types in the Utirik
20

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