EE (Ann Whitman file) 2. al hp , ~ wel SW NIGLASSTFIEF isa iay SIGNIFICANT WORLD DEVELOPMENTS AFFECTING U. S. SECURITY The Director of Central Intelligence alluded to the fact that at the previous meeting ‘of the National Security Council he had mentioned the possibility thet the Russians had just tested either an ICEM or an earth satellite. The evidence wes somewhat clearer now than a week ago. While we were still unable to pro- duce hard information, it now seemed likely that this had been a test of an ICEM, with a range of perhaps 3500 miles. constitute the third Soviet ICBM test shot. This would Turning to the situation in Indonesia, Mr. Dulles said that if there was to be a climax in Indonesia, we were on the point of reaching it; but one has to be very skeptical about the Indonesiens and about any climax. As a people, the Indonesians often do a lot of talking, accompanied by very little action; but it seems that the dissidents will join in submitting an ultimatum to the Djekearta government on the 7th of February. of the dissidents has ports of this meeting about Sukarno. He is had departed, Sukarno ( , In brief, the Meanwhile, en envoy been in cnpntect with Sukarno in Tokyo. Reseemed to be in character with what we know alleged to have wept; but after the envoy hed sent instructions to Djakarta to make no change in policy. Accordingly, his tears may have been of the crocodile variety. The date of Sukarno's return to Indonesia has now been set for February 15. Meanwhile, there have been some negotiations between the Centrel Government and the dissidents on Sumatra. The letter have now in reediness a complete new Cabinet for Indonesia. Mr. Dulles thought it likely that the ultimatum would be presented by the dissidents, and that the government would then suggest further negotiations. Sukarno would then return, after which anything could heppen~-possibly a blow-up. ‘The great problem is where the Army stands, particularly the forces in Java. These forces seem divided in their loyalty between the dissidents and the Centrel Goverment. The military capebilities of the dissidents have recently improved, although they profess to fear greatly en air attack from Java. The Sultan of Pjocjakarta has arrived in Washington, allegcdly to take part in a conference on tourism. This was very queer conduct for the Sultan, but e great many Indonesien fencesitters are busy getting out of the way until the situation clar- ifies. Mr. Dulles concluded by predicting the possibility that, wuatever happened, the outer islends would split off from Java. Mr. Dulles said that the details with respect to the union of Sgypt and Syria were far from clear, although it was sure thet Nesser was to be the boss of the new Arab state. Public a UT CLASSEFEas nore ultimatum sill say “clean up or clear out".