Using the above ideas it might be possible then, to generate a

"reasonable" dietary intake for each of the 36 females.

-

This

scheme could be repeated day after day for as long a time period

as desired (easily done on the computer).

Note that we have

added variability by using different dietary intakes for individuals
and a range of possible daily intakes for each food item.
So far we have considered only variation in dietary intake.

Now

we must consider the concentration of Sr-90 in each days diet.
Consider a given food, say coconut.

While we do not have much data

on coconuts, it is reasonable to assume the distribution of concentrations in coconuts over the island would be lognormal if the
soil concentrations in which those coconuts grew is lognormal.

We

could imagine that coconuts are gathered from different trees and
hence that each days intake of coconut is a sample from a lognormal
distribution.

The parameters u and o (mean and standard deviation

of the logarithms of the data) of that distribution can be estimated

from the parameters of the soil distribution and the ratio data.
Using the estimated parameters ‘ and G, the computer could generate
a pCi/g concentration intake from ingesting coconut for each day.

The Sr-90 daily intake for each food could be so generated.

The

parameters of the lognormal distribution for each food would be
different if the food to soil ratios varied for each food (which they do).

For each of the 36 females the following data would hence be generated

(assume only 2 foods in the diet for ease of illustration), where

Food 1

Day

}
2
365

grams/day

pCi/g°

Food 2

—pCi/day

Gy
Gio

C1
Cio

G14C1y
Bil yp

Gi 365

1,365 91, 365°, 365

grams/day pCi/g_

pCi/day

G54
Goo

C5)
Cop

65405)
G9o9

Go 365

2,365 "2, 365¢2,365

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