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DASA 2019-2

those circumstances that would be very likely to reveal the identity of
of the attacker,
I think that any effort to make an attack on the U.S. ona large
scale that’ has any possibility of occurring is one which has the property that the attacker is not known, There are five countries in the
world now with the ability to attack the U.S, in a major way and,
therefore, [think it's much more likely that there will be a purposeful effort to confuse us, and the best kind of confusion is complete
ignorance rather than allowing a situation to develop which is clearly
suicidal for the country that's going to attack us. I think that's extremely unlikely.
AYRES: I'm glad vou agree that the other situation is unlikely.
Uthink this is unlixely for the reason that if nobody is going to suspect the real attacker, there can't be much of a reason for the attack,
so why do it?
TAYLOR:

Because you want to destroy the United States.

AYRES: That's not a gocd enough reason. If there's no burning
issue at the moment, it's just not a good idea to launcha nuclear
attack even if you think you may get away with it because they won't

know who did it.
WARREN:

There's always a burning issue,

isn't there,

.

in this

world?

FREMONT-SMITH:

Two or three, I think.

WARREN: I'm reminded of the fact that the Japanese did some
shadow boxing on this. Their ambassador was in Mr. Hull's office

when they attacked Pearl.Harbor,

The Japanese ambassador could

very well have committedhari-kari in the corridor of Mr. Hull's
office because he lost face by this act of his government which used
him as a pawn for deceiving,
Now, I've had a little bit of private horror thinking that the Mongol
is quite devious in this way and in their long-term plan it would not
be beyond them, under conditions of warfare to make every effort

to be affable, friendly, open, everything just wonderful, It's the
old trick of inviting your enemy to a big banquet to celebrate your
peace and then poison his cup. On the day of the greatest evidence

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