2.

Birth Defects Risks

Table 3 gives the calculations

B.

for the estimates of birth defects.

Risk Estimates Based on BEIR-111

Table 4 gives risk estimates based on BEIR-111 r’ sk coefficients.

were calculated
Bikini book.

for comparison purposes~only

These

and were not used in the

The highest estimates for cancer r“ sk result from using

the linear relative risk model and are about the same as those given in
Table 2 for the relative risk model.
the linear-quadratic

The lowest estimates result from

absolute risk model and

for the absolute model in Table 2.

are slightly less than those

Thus, as far as estimates of cancer

risk are concerned, those obtained using risk coefficients
are in.the same general range as those obtained

from BEIR-1

using risk coefficients

from BEIR-111.

Risk estimates for birth defects obtained using the risk factor from
BEIR-I gives values about three times those obtained using the upper
value of the range of risk factors given in BEIR-111.

If BEIR-111

risk factors for birth defects represent a more enlightened assessment
of this potential consequence of radiation exposure than the factor
taken from BEIR-I for overall health defects,

then the estimates in

the Bikini book may be conservative by a factor of three.

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