AOB R44

OAK RIDGE NATIONAL LABORATORY
OPERATED

re

BY

UNION CARBIDE CORPORATION
NUCLEAR DIVISION

a

POST OFFICE BOX X
OAK RIDGE, TENNESSEE 37830

June 8, 1981

Dr. Bruce W. Wachholz
EV-30, GTN
Office of Health and Environmental
Research
Office of Energy Research
U.S. Department of Energy

Washington, DC

20545

Dear Bruce:

My comments for the non-medical component of the Marshall Islands program
at Brookhaven are going to be brief.

In my opinion, the work (particularly that of Lessard) represents good
incividual efforts. My concern is that it is basically a “one-man" show
when it comes to dosimetry models. Lessard needs needs some interaction
with a strong modeling group. Particular emphasis needs to be placed on
error analyses of the model (or models).
I did not get the feeling that
Lessard could make much of an attempt at estimating error except by some

of the standard statistical procedures. Predicting error associated with
models is becoming a discipline in itself, and I suggest that the next
approach be estimating the degree of error or basically what kind of con-

fidence can you place in the model.

There should be more and better communication between BNL and LLL; however,
I am not sure how realistic it is to think that such an interaction will

take place.

For example, it is often difficult to get groups within large

institutions to interact (or even between floors of buildings), let alone
two groups each on different sides of the U.S.
Thus, if there is a lack of
conmunication it could be the fault of DOE.
The data that Bob Mittenberger generates are the backbone of their work and

any errors would have-Far-reaching circumstances.

He is certainly enthu-

Siastic about his work, and it probably bears on the quality.

I got the

idea that they were cross-checking, duplicating, and conducting round-robins
with other laboratories that quality assurance was being maintained. In my
opinion, the detection of Pu body burdens in attocurie levels is not necessary; however, remember this is not my major interest. If the opportunity
comes about, they could send a person (presumably a native from Rongelap)
to ORNL to verify the possible jifferences in counting ability.
I would
think this would be the first .tep before investing heavily in additional

body counting equipment.

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