United States to meteorological conditions and to local and tropospheric fallout as a result of
the proximity of the Nevada Test Site. The generally higher concentrations in the north tem-

perate latitudes were attributed to prevailing meteorological conditions and their effects on
tropospheric fallout from tests in the USSR and at the United States Pacific Proving Grounds.
Machta* proposed a model of stratospheric fallout which differs in some respects from
Libby’s. He postulated that stratospheric mixing is slow and that stratospheric distribution of

fission products is still nonuniform. He feels that a major portion of the nuclear debris is
still in the northern portions of the northern hemisphere, rather than uniformly spread over
the entire globe or even uniformly dispersed in the northern hemisphereitself. He feels also
that stratospheric movement of the fission products is largely by direct transport from west

to east in the general latitude of the point of injection with very slow vertical mixing. Slow
polewards circulation of stratospheric air from equatorial regions provides some mixing

toward the poles. The higher concentration of fallout in the temperate latitudes is explained
on the basis of air exchange between the stratosphere and troposphere through the break in
the tropopause in the vicinity of the jet streams. A large part of the higher concentration of

Sr™ found in the northern part of the United States may result from preferential stratospheric
leakage in the vicinity of 30°N to 40°N latitude instead of the proximity of the Nevada TestSite.
Qualitatively, both models predict the same general distribution of fallout. Quantitatively, the

Machta model predicts a greater degree of nonuniformity of fallout over the earth with higher
deposition of fission products in the north and south temperate latitudes from nuclear debris
still in the stratospheric reservoir. Figure 1 shows the essential features of the Machta
model and the present general world-wide surface distribution pattern of sr,
3.2

Average Maximum Surface Deposition Levels

(a) Present Levels (1956-1957), A crude indication of latitudinal distribution of the integrated Sr® surface deposition levels as of June 1956, derived from soil data, is shown by the
lower curve in Fig. 2. This curve is essentially the same as the one given by Machta’* except
a few points have been added and the peak concentration in the north temperate latitudes is
drawn slightly higher to allow some weighting for average Sr® levels in United States soils.
These data suggest a level of about 13 mc/sq mile for the north temperate latitudes. No soil

data are available yet for mid-1957. Fallout data from pot collections in New York and Pittsburgh, however, showed that cumulative Sr® fallout increased by about 50 per cent from June
1956 to June 1957.5 The upper curve in Fig. 2 represents estimated latitudinal fallout dis-

tribution in June 1957. Some of the increase in New York and Pittsburgh fallout could have

been tropospheric contribution from Russian tests, which would result in over-prediction of
the Sr®™ levels in other areas. This and other criticisms, however, seem minor compared to

the uncertainty in the primary soil data.

Estimated deposition levels in June 1957 show a total Sr®™ fallout ‘of about 19 mc/sq mile
for the north temperatelatitudes, 3 to 4 mc/sq mile for the equatorial regions, and about 5

to 6 mc/sq mile for the south temperate latitudes (Fig. 1). Data from pot collections in the

New York area suggest total sr* deposition levels of about 35 mc/sq mile in the northern
United States in mid-1957. The rapid build-up of Sr®™ in the northern states in the spring of

1957 cannot be attributed to tropospheric fallout from Nevada tests, since Operation Plumbbob
had not begun. It may be due to tropospheric fallout from spring test operations in the USSR
and to preferential stratospheric fallout from past tests.
The total amount of Sr® deposited over the earth’s surface (from both tropospheric and
stratospheric fallout) as of mid-1957 can be estimated from the upper curvein Fig. 2 by

replotting the data in terms of Sr® deposition/degree times the earth’s area/degree. This
' calculation suggests a world total deposition of 1.64 megacuries, which gives a world average
surface level of 8.2 mc/sqmile.
Libby’s” estimates of Sr™ surface deposition levels for the fall of 1956 were 22 mc/sq

mile for the northern United States, 15 to 17 mc/sq mile for similar latitudes elsewhere,*

and 3 to 4 mc/sq mile for the rest of the world. These values are in good agreement with those

*The north temperate fallout band was indirectly defined as the region between 60°N-10°N latitude. It
is assumed that the surface deposition of 16 to 17 mc/sq mile applies to this area.

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