A population of 550 was assumed for the one that might move back permanently to
Bikini Atoll.

Values for other initial populations were obtained by

ratios of the results.
The total population at the end of 30 years is given by the compounding
equation:

Pay = 850 (1 + 0.038)°° = 1684
The number of births in 30 years aregiven by:
30

B = 0.042 x 550 f0.038)" dx
0

where x is the time between 0 and 30.
B = 07 042
; x 550I
- Th 1.038

[1.038

30

This gives

- 1] = 1277

Similarly, the number of deaths in the 30 year period would be:

Deaths

30
0.0054 x 550 0.038)" dx
0

_ 0.0054 x 550
Deaths = Talo

[1.038

30

- 1] = 164

One other datum needed is the reduction in 30 year dose to those born
after the return because of the decrease in radiation levels and the
smaller amount of time in the 30 year period that is spent on the island.
For this, the total population dose for those born after returning
assuming an initia’ dose rate of 1 rad/year is given by:

P = 550 D, J

0

730

e* (7.038%) dx

A is the half-life of decrease of the radiation dose, taken here as 30
years.

Because this integral cannot be solved analytical, an approximate solu-~
tion was obtained by calculating this function for each of 30 years and

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