Numerous national and international authorities have conducted such
studies.

It is beyond the scope of this history to discuss these studies in

any detail; however, some relevant findings are summarized below (1):
Risk Estimates for Fatal Cancers from Gamma
Radiation

Cancer deaths per million

Source*

man-rem

BEIR I (1972)
ICRP (1977)
UNSCEAR (1977)
BEIR III (1980)

115-621
125
100
67-226%**

The risk estimates presented above are in terms of cancer deaths per
million man-rem; UNSCEAR, for example, predicted 100 deaths for a population
of 1 million persons receiving a whole-body radiation dose of 1.0 rem.

The

UNSCEAR data can be translated to one fatal cancer among 10,000 persons
receiving a dose of 1.0 rem.

The latest findings published by the NAS BEIR

III Committee predict slightly over two radiation-induced fatal cancers among
a population of 10,000 so exposed.

According to current cancer risk esti-

mates, approximately 1,600 fatal cancers occur naturally in a population of
10,000 persons (16 percent).

Therefore, one or two additional cases would

fall within the random variation of such data, thereby making it virtually
impossible to detect an increased incidence rate among a population of
10,000 receiving a dose of 1.0 rem.

Obviously a much higher dose or larger

group would be needed to detect an increase with any statistical significance
(1).

*The BEIR report was prepared by the National Academy of Sciences (NAS)
Committee on the Biological Effects of Ionizing Radiation. ICRP is the
International Committee on Radiological Protection, and UNSCEAR is the
United Nations Scientific Committee on the Effects of Atomic Radiation.
*kThe number cited is the majority opinion. One dissenting member estimated
cancer deaths at the 158-501, and another dissenting member estimated 10-28
deaths per million man rem.

180

Select target paragraph3