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Health Physics

Marshall Islands Our unrefined estmates were generally
conservative and were intended to avoid under-estimation
of the number of cancers that might occur These mitral
results were presented durmg joint hearmgsof the House of
Representatives Committee on Resources and the Committee on International Relanons m May 2005 (Umited States
2005) Followmg these jomt hearmgs, we improved the
models and data analysis to derive more realistic estimates
of external and mternal radiation dose by year, atoll, and

age, as well as improved estimates of cancer nsks Those
estmates and the methods on which they are based are the
subject of this Summary paper and 1ts compamion papers
The purposeof this group ofpapers 1s to present, m
the peer-reviewed Iterature, a summary of the most
important data that are available and that are useful for
dose reconstruction, a detailed analysis of fallout deposited on each ofthe atolls of the Marshall Islands from
nuclear weaponstests at Brkim and Enewetak, improved
estimates of radiation doses, and mproved estimates of

cancer risks resultmg from exposureto the fallout These
estimates are based on a much deeper analysis of the
available data than m DCEG (2004) and on models

developed especially for this study Although numerous
studies have been conducted over the past decades to
momitor the Marshall Islands and people, to develop land

remediation strategies, and to assess contemporary and
possible future doses that might be received by mhabit-

ants of certam atolls in the Marshall Islands, the focus

was more often on radiological momtoring, and on the
northerm Marshall Islands m particular Many of those
studies were chronicled m a special issue of Health
Physics (Stmon and Vetter 1997) The current study,
however,1s the first comprehensive effort to estimate the

deposition ofal] the rmportant radionuchdes contributing
to dose and to estimate the doses and associated cancer
risks to the population of the Marshall Islands
Detailed information on the technical aspects of this
work and on the results of all parts of the study are
provided m the seven companion papers m this volume,
including
@ the estimation of the amounts of fallout that were
deposited on the ground over each atoll] and separate
reef island of the Republic of the Marshall Islands
(Beck et al 2010),
® the estimation of doses from external irradiation (Bouville et al 2010),

® the estimation of the doses from mternal 1radiation
(Simonet al 2010),
® the estimation of the cancer nsks (Land et al 2010),

August 2010, Volume 99, Number 2
bioassay data rmportant to mternal dose estimation
(Harris et al 2010) and interpretation of mtake-related
dosimetric factors (Ibrahim et al 2010), and

®@ a model of atmospheric transport and deposition that
was used to provide confirmation of the reliabihty of
some of the estmated depositions (Moroz et al 2010)

The present paper summarizes the purposes and
methods ofthe overall study and the estimated radiation
doses and related cancer risks, as well as presents data

that are commontoall of the above papers, cluding the
nuclear tests, the radionuchdes considered, and the pop-

ulation sizes and their movements during the testing
period
SCOPE OF THE STUDY
The overall purposes ofthis study were to derive an
mternally consistent set of radiation absorbed doses to
Marshallese alive during and after the years of nuclear
testmg m the Marshall Islands and to provide a thorough
description of methods used in the dose reconstruction, to

estimate the numberof cancersthat had already occurred

and that could be attributed to radiation exposure, and to

estimate the number of radtation-related cancers yet to
occur The dose and risk assessment includes all Marshallese population groups and takes mto account the
size of the population of each atoll community, the
baseline cancer risks (1e, cancers unrelated to fallout
exposure), and all of the Bikim and Enewetak nuclear

tests that resulted m fallout over the terntory of the
Marshall Islands
As indicated mm Beck et al (2010), we estimatedthat,

ofthe 66 nuclear tests detonated m or near the Marshall
Islands from 1946 through 1958, 20 tests deposited
measurable fallout m the Marshall Islands excludmg the
atolls on which thetest sites were located (Fig 1) These
tests were Yoke m 1948, Dog and Item m 1951, Mike
and Kimg mm 1952, Bravo, Romeo, Koon, Union, Yankee,
and Nectar m 1954, Zum, Flathead, and Tewa m 1956,
and Cactus, Fir, Koa, Maple, Redwood, and Cedar in

1958 The characteristics of these 20 tests are presented
im Table | Eachofthese 20 tests was taken mto account
im the estimation of radiation doses and cancer risks
There are 30 atolls and four separate reef islands m
the Marshall Islands Ground deposition densities were

estimated for 63 rachonuchdes plus ***“"Pu for all the

atolls and separate reef islands except the two atolls
where the testing sites were located (Bikim and
Enewetak) However, some of the atolls were not mhab-

ited during all or part of the testing period either because
they were historically used only for gathermg food
(Ailinginae, Bikar, Enkub, Jabat, Jemo Island, Knox,

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