case of thyroid cancer per 230 children; a minimum
of one case in five thousanc

n.

Not unless many more children in the Marshall Islands had been exposed to iodine 131 fallout would
the absence of cancer or other thyroid abnormalities

there suggest that cancer er other thyroid abnormalities

would be unlikely in the Utah children.

picture that can be reliably screened out of a ‘welll’
populatior —
‘ recourse to intensive study.”
The proviein .s certainly a unique, complex and
difficult one, but it is of such importance that neither

difficulty nor cost should be allowed to stand in the
way of expanded and, if necessary, intensive studies.

Dr. Wolff does not comment on the possibility of improving the dosimetry. If this could be done and small
areas of high dosage identified, the intensive studies
might first be concentrated in those areas.

The comments from Dr. Wolff of the Radiological
Health Department of the U.S. Public Health Service
(p. 2) describe what is currently being done and what
is planned in the search for pathological effects. The
small expansion of the present field study in southern
Utah and the collection and analysis of Utah and
Nevada records of thyroid surgery are both useful steps.
Whether “extensive epidemiologic studies” should be

other questions may have to be asked; other studies
designed. This is a challenge, not only to the Public

tioned by Dr. Wolff because the present field study
is difficult and costly, with “no characteristic clinical

community who have an interest in the problem and
a competence in one of the related disciplines.

designed on the basis of Dr. Mays’ dosimetry is ques-

Robert A. Conard

Robert A. Conard is head of the Marshall! Island Surveys at the Brookhaven National Laboratory.
The studies of the Utah children proposed by Dr.
Mays are worthy of consideration. However, the task
of reconstructing the thyroid doses in this population
due to fallout from detonation of different nuclear
devices over the past years would appear to be extremely
difficult, if not impossible. Also the logistics of instituting retrospective and prospective studies in this population of children are formidable. The diagnosis of radia-

tion-induced thyroid lesions would be extremely difficult
to separate from thyroiditis and other prevalent thyroid

conditions in this population without careful pathologic

and other studies. The Salt Lake City population of
children is quite large for the thorough studies that
would be necessary. Perhaps concentration of efforts
on the more heavily exposed Washington Countychildren would result in more meaningful information.
In our studies in the Marshall Island people exposed

to fallout in 1954, twelve years ago, we have noted
over the past few years the development of thyroid
abnormaljties in fifteen of nineteen children exposed
at less ‘than ten years of age (thirteen with benign

thyroid nodules and two with hypothyroidism).' One

adult developed cancer of the thyroid. It should be

pointed out that the incidence of thyroid disease is
quite low in the Marshall Islands. Although dose esti-

mates are not precise, it was calculated that the thyroid
glands of the young Marshallese children received in

the range of 700-1400 rads from radioiodines internally

absorbed and in addition 175 rads from gammaradia-

tion (similar to x-rays). These doses are considerably

Scientist and Citizen

In looking for thyroid damage within the “well”
population, new and unorthodox methods may have
to be tried; new screening procedures sought. If the
questions now being asked are not yielding the answers,

Health Service, but to all members of the scientific

higher than those received by the Utah children. More
pertinent is the absence thus far of any thyroid ab-

normalities in 40 other Marshallese children, on a dif-

ferent island, exposed in the same age range, who
received an estimated 55-125 rads to their thyroid

glands, and also lack of thyroid abnormalities in six
children, on still another island, that received an estimated 300-600 rads to their glands. These doses are
probably also higher than those received by the Utah
children. Therefore, based on the Marshallese experience, it does not seem likely that an easily detectable

increase in thyroid abnormalities will be found in the
Utah children. However, it should be pointed out that
the numberof exposed Marshallese children is too small

to establish a low or threshold dose of induction of
thyroid abnormalities. If thyroid dosimetry proves satis-

factory and thyroid studies could be effectively pursued

in the Utah children, the data collected, even if of a
negative nature, would be valuable.

REFERENCE

1. R. A. Conard, J. E. Rall, and W. W. Sutow: Thyroid
nodules as a late sequela of radioactive fallout in a Marshall
Island population exposed in 1954. New England Journal

of Medicine 274: 1392-1399, June 23, 1966.
Robert C. Pendleton

Robert C. Pendleton is head of the Radiological Health
Department of the University of Utah.
Dr. Mays has covered the problems relative to reassessing the hazard to children in the Utah area
admirably, and my comments will be concerned with
the ecological factors that have to date not been taken

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