Table 19, Parameters used in analysis of uncertainty and variability in estimated dose and cancer risk to hypothetical Rongelap
residents.

ty

Parametersé

Symbol

Variate

typeb

Value or

distribution model¢

Unit

Unit-conversion factor

c

Cc

2.431 x 10-4

Radiological decayrate of 137Cs

A

Cc

0.0230

Faction input to slow compartment

F

UV

U(2F -1, 1)

unitless

Variability expectation of F

F

U

U(0.855, 0.945)

unitless

Biological half-life of slow compartment

H

Vv

LN(in(F)-(s2,,H) / 2), sun(t)|

y

Population-average value of H

H

Cc

110/365

y

Uncertainty associated with H

B

U

U(0.9, 1.107)

unitless

SD of Ln(H)-variability

SLn(H)

Cc

0.275

unitless

Population-average value of R

R

U

N((R).(R)gr)

Bq/kg-y

Expected value of R

(R)

Cc

0.447x 365

Bq/kg-y

Annualdietary intake of 137Cs

R

UV

LN(in(R) - (st,(R) / 2), sun(R)]

Bq/kg-y

CV of (R) variability

8R

V

0.9821

unitless

SD of Ln(R) variability

SLn(R)

Cc

0.8217

unitless

CV in R due to dietary sampling uncertainty

YR

C

0.034

unitless

Uncertainty (model bias) associated with R

B

U

LN(-1.463, 0.8639)

unitless

U

LN(-7.970, 0.5409)

cSv-l

Uncertainty risk per unit dose

cSv kg Bqu! y-1

:

y"

a

SD standard deviation, CV = SD/mean

¢

U (ab) = uniformly distributed between a and b, LN (a,b) = lognormally distributed with geometric mean e* and geometric SD e%,

C = constant, U = uncertainty, V = interindividually variable (i.e., heterogeneous), UV = both uncertain and heterogeneous.

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