To obtain individual tree breakage cata in a region of lon:

positive phase durations in order to substantiate the basis for break-

age and blow down predictions.
4.3.2

Procedure
his project will participate in the Koon shot only.

The project

fart: will be confined to Uncle Island. There will be no instrumentation-émploying electronics. A tree stand (approximately 1000! x 1000!)

will be sélected on Uncle Island by ground

survey.

Pressures within

nd will be obtained from Project 1.2b which will place eight

self recording pressure gages in the stand.

Q(4u%) forces will be

deduced from/tReory and measurements made at other locations by Project
1.3.

Snubbers‘(wire from center of pressure on tree stem to a friction

grip on a groud stake) will be installed on selected trees for measurements of maximum deflection. A few isolated trees in cleared areas
outside the stand will be instrumented and observed for comparison with
those within the stand. Static breakage tests will be performed on

trees which are typical of those within the stand.

There will be ex-

tensive pre- and post-shot still photography of the tree stand.
4.3.3

Remarks
This will be the first@bservation of the effects of a nuclear

detonation on a natural tree ‘stand.

From previous experimental work,

culminated by observation and‘instrumentation on an artificial tree
stand in UPSHOT-KNOTHOLE, a tree breakage prediction system is in

preparation (by U. S. Forest Se icé) presenting 90 per cent (severe
damage) and 10 per cent (light damagd) levels of probability. Project
3.3 will serve as a test of thispeedietion theory.

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