was used because the Bikini people have been and will probably be
exposed to much lower limits of environmental

carcinogens than people

living in the U.S. and because of limited medical services and prevalence
of other risks such as drowning, poisoning, etc.

Other causes of death

are probably higher in the Bikini population than in the U.S. population.
We also suspected the average life span was less than in the U.S. population, which might tend to reduce the number of cancers that would
occur in the elderly.

9.

The largest dose a person might receive in a year was estimated

to be three times the average dose.

Data in the appendix for individuals

show that the highest individual dose is more than twice the average but
less than three times.

II.

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To estimate the number of births, deaths and the magnitude of the Bikini
population after 30 years, information was used from the final draft of the
Marshall Islands five year health plan prepared by the Trust Territories’
---��
Department of Health Services’ Office of Health Planning and the Resources
Department.

The document is undated, but the presence of data from 1976

indicates that it must have been prepared in the period of 1977 to 1979
when we received it.

It was noted that there are apparent inconsistencies

among several of the different tables.

For example, Table III-1

gives

data

for the Marshall Islands for the period 1955-1975 and Table III-5 gives
data for the infant mortality rate for 1976.

In Table 111-1,

the infant

death rate per “1000 births for 1970 through 1975 is given as 28.3, 33.6,
25.4, 46.4, 21.”1and 37.0.

However, Table III-5 indicates the infant

mortality rate to be only 17.04.

We used the data of Table 111-1 in the

Select target paragraph3