2.

Bir,th-Defects,RiMs.
..
~’

Table 3 gives the calculations for the estimates of birth defects.

B.

RISKESTIMATES
BASEDON BEIR-111
—
———

These

Table 4 gives risk estimates based on BEIR-111 risk coefficients.

were calculated

for compa~~}ion purposes only and was not used in the

Bikini book.

The highest estimates for cancer risk result from using

the linear relative risk model and are about the same as those given in
Table 2 for.th~ela.tive~~_~%k-~de-l-,-:_~+e-l-mst

%x@imates--PetIuklrWo~

..,.....=>

~f$-li”neiii$-quadratit
Table 2 for the relative risk model.

The lowest estimates result from

the linear-quadratic absolute risk model and are slightly less than those
for the absolute model in Table 2.

Thus, as far as estimates of cancer

risk are cone ‘n~~ed,those obtained using risk coefficients from BEIR-I

%,

are in the same general

range as those obtained using risk coefficients

from BEIR-111.

Risk estimates for birth defects obtained using the risk factor from

BE~R-I gives

values about three times those obtained using the upper

value of the range of risk factors given in BEIR-111.

risk

If BEIR-111

factors for bith defects represent a more enlightened assessment

of this potential consequence of radiation exposure than the factor
taken from BEIR-I f~r overall health defects, then the estimates
in the Bikini book may be conservative by a factor of three.

~ivi-~

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