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US DOE ARCHIV
ES

326 US ATGNIC EALEGY

Collection

COMBISSION

SECRETARIAT
—PECRETARIAT
,

BoxGag

GENERAL ADVISORY COMMITTEE
+
.
‘older
TO THE
U. S, ATOMIC ENERGY COMM
A
WASHINGTON 25, D.C.
April 2, 1954

.

Mr, L. L. Straues, Chairman
U. S, Atomie Erergy Commission

Washington 25, [. C,
,

Dear Mr. Strauss?
The experience on the MIKE shot, which though unexplained _

nas proven to be a happy one so far, is that most of the debris
has never been found,
The present contamination of the world
by the fission product Strontium-90 appears to correspond to a

sotal of about one megaton of explosion.

The fate of the MIKE

debris remains a mystery, though more and more evidence indicates
that a considerable part of it is in the bottom of the sea. The
possibility still remains that a large proportion resides in the
highest levels of the atmosphere.
However, it appears not yet to
nave entered the biosphere nor to have been found in human bodies,
roods, and foodstuffs,
After careful studies ~- Rand Corporation Project SunshineAureole -- one is left at a nearly complete loss when he attempts to predict the effect of changing the base on which one
of the large thermonuclear weapons is fired from coral to sea
xater.
The study has one tsiy ee us greater humility, has made
3S more dependent than ye"ipitially were on experimental observ2Sion. A shot such as
which was fired from a raft over
“water, may therefore
e been subject to a fundamental change

in "fall out" conditions.

It is our understending

that a mini-

mum of information will be availeble concerningIll'£212 out"

in time to tear on the CASTLE series.
Therefore We are likely
to be unable to deduce in the next few weeks whether water serves
better than coral or worse than coral in the sense of removing

the lethal fission products and carrying them into the sea before

they reach the great continental land masses,

Under these conditions I would recemmend that you consider
making no further shots on barges over water in the present series.
If it is essential to do 30, an attempt should be made to pléce

fo

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