at SION wt’

393

PASC

it ccabbver. casnis Turi aita a tersaihilt vy,

RISEMNP EUS

boreag eicetoot the reports that sere outished

tantib aaviee theee veare ale atid,

fraukig,

up

Pf bee artie kecteative fad

ertarn pergtot view ceothese pe. oct thar ter dead ta be cotymastic,
1berexampie, Sou could select fA Po athaen when st owomkd be
pust ae cacy te selectane ato SPOON EL

El vat Gad select Che alitd.
“EP attack, your cucelusiaus woul be attovethber differest, And toere

Was a teboency te accept the fact that there was morpture oi the

lorests go that you woulda t have the arlespread. oe...
AYRES
At Shi they nave stucied attacks involving as much as
20, G00 mepatons, whichis certainly pessinistic !
EiSeNBUD: Um thinking of hearings, Pin thinking of the Harbor
report, Uve seen your stuff, whichis goad,
AYRES:

(didn’t make any particular assumption,

EISENBUD:
WARREN:

No.

The RAND reports,

Could we get some of those hearings issued to us?

EISENBUD:

‘roucan,

[ started to say that this 3,099 MTP might

only be 20 KT if you accept the dreadful situation that Ted's worrying
ahout where maybe some Cuban refugees get hoid of a 20-K PT bomb and
explode itonus so that we will get into a fight with Russia,

and they

can get Castro out during the confusion, Atrcer all, they cid tery to
bomb the U.N. And at could go up, | suppose, maybe to 50, 000 of
100,000; you name it. ft could be combined with BWCW,
AYRES:

of anything.

At that level you don't have to worry about the survival

—

TAYLOR: [think that's the Jevel at about 20,000 MT. When you
start addiny up targets andplacing carefully on them one thousand

20-MT bombs and you can kill everybody outright by even including
heavy fallout, you can venerate a situation in which I think it's at
wast a tenable hypothesis that-in the next few months everyone would
die.

Select target paragraph3