~~ n 28 ae - ee ote wo ty : we teRRROe erent emits oT wa oe ayaleeaaeien mee aR ANE eta ceaoo SESSION VII 385 AYRES: That doesn't mean the plant is useless after a few days, UPTON: It seems to me, Merril, we ought to appreach this in steps, Perhaps the first step would be to consider the surviving population, Then we would heve to look at the ave distribution of the pupulation and the state of the industrial potential, and so on, DOBSON: [thoroughly apree with that, [t seems to me it is the omy really meaningful way to look at it. In this connection, L would like to ask whether anybody feels that the idea irs completely farfetched that the porulation would be closer to zero’ DUNHAM: No, TAYLOR: With that level ofattack” DOBSON: No, BUSTAD: I thought we started out by putting on the record how CONARD: Yes. many we predicted would be dead. BUSTAD: And when i say that the population would approximate that in i940, I obtained it by subtracting the numbers that yeu presented, UPTON: jured. You said 60 te 70 million dead and about 745 miillica in- So th ¢ does add upto 140 million. DOBSON: of attack”? You mean we are still dealing with this particular sive . EISENBUD: Yes, One of the things that has bothered me, which ‘IT mentioned yesterday, is the fact that these casualty figures, as I understand them, are predicted on « 450- rad LOD-50, and it could be that under these circumstances the LD-50 1s lower, DUNHAM: Or higher. EISENBUD: DUNHAM: Or higher? Yes, # ao voy ay 2