The 0.3 r per week out~of-doors isodose-rate line might extend to about
the same position as the line marked 50 on the map.
As one attempts to extrapolate such data to one year after
fallout, the analysis becomes still more difficult and uncertain.

The

data suggest, however, that if return is postponed to one year after
fallout, the 50 r effective biological isodose line will have disappeared.

On the basis of these conservative estimates, the 1,000 square miles of
highest contamination might have an out-of-doors dose rate of about 4 r
per week after one year.

Similarly, personnel might accumulate a dose

of about 100 r for the first year following their return, and an additional 90 r over the next three years, independent of the biological
recovery factor.

It is to be expected that this factor would be rela-

tively great for such long periods of time, thus reducing the effective

biological dose below 50 r.

The 0.3 r per week out-of-doors isodose-

rate line might encompass an area somewhat larger than the line marked
400 on the map.
For such effects as genetic, it is the total dose received
that is important since biological repair does not enter in such
calculations.

According to the conservative estimates of weathering

and shielding used above, possibly several hundred roentgens might be
delivered in the areas of heaviest contamination, from the end of the
first year after the fallout occurred until the radioactivity had decreased to essentially zero.

However, the foregoing analyses are based

on passive factors only, not taking into account the actions of persons
themselves in reducing contamination.

If, for example, a permanent
ee

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