., . .

Deaths in 30years

~=

Births in 30 years ##-=

&’x.=4���”7

=40

+1’x=325”

=300

For a population of 235:

Deaths in 30years

~=

Births in 30years

~

= 70.07 =

&’x
=

70

= 545.62 s 550

&’x

For a population of 350:

Deaths in 30 years ~$

Births in 30years

~’=

‘&,x

= 104.36 s1OO

= 812.63 ~800

h’x

RISK COEFFICIENTS

III.

At the time the Bikini book was prepared no agency in the U.S. government
had accepted the risk coefficients in BEIR-111.
to use risk coefficients from BEIR-I.

Thus we were constrained

While not included in the printed

book, risk estimates based on BEIR-111 were calculated for comparison
purposes.

A.

The following gives the origin of

BEIR-I
1.

Cancer (Tables 3-3 and 3-4)

Cancer deaths/year in U.S.
from 0.1 rem/year
(pop = 197,863,000)
,.
:.”’
,!.
....
.,
.,.
.’ .
...
“...
‘1
<.,
.,.
.73
‘>
.:
.,
~~’
i
.’
..
-.
,4
.’,
.
.

Absolute
Leukemia

Relative

516

738

1210

2436

1485

8340

Other Cancers
30 year
elevated risk
lifetime

Select target paragraph3