I.

GENERAL

A. In September 1952 a preliminary report was prepared on this subject. When the preliminary study was made there was considerable doubt
whether the cloud from thermonuclear weapons could pierce the tropopause
and rise significantly against the isothermal or inversion lapse rate of

the stratosphere. Since practically all of the mushroom of the IVY-MIKE
shot penetrated the tropopause and the maximum height reached was 134,000
ft. msl for the plume anc 125,000 ft. for the top of the mushroom, there
is no longer any doubt that man made explosions can carry aloft to the

required heights a considerable quantity of soil debris.

The preliminary

report used the Rayleigh equations for diffuse reflection and random
scatter of radiation by dust particles, Upon further analysis of the

problem it is,now realized that since a majority of the dust particles
under consideretion are in the size range as the wave length of visible

light, the simple inverse fourth power of the wave length function
developec by Rayleigh for radiation scatter must be discarded for the
more complete theory developed by Mie (5). In the preliminary report the

amount of dust required aloft was divided by the fourth power of the

ratio of the wave lengths of terrestrial to solar radiation. It is now
realized that such a procedure was not justified. Much of the data
contained in the preliminary report will be included in this second study.
This may be repetitious, but it will have the advantage of putting the
required information in one report.
B.

From a study of the reddish-brown corona observed around the sun

for two or three years after the volcanic eruptions of Krakatoa in 1883,
Mont Pelee and Santa Maria in 1902 and Katmai in 1912, astronomers observed

‘a significant reduction in solar radiation (10 to 297) due to a dust layer

aloft. Humphreys (1) calculated that if 1.734 x 10“*
spherical particles
of 1.85 micron diameter are uniformly distributed throughout the isothermal
region of the etmosphere, there would be a significant reduction in solar

radiation.

If this is continued over ae period of time, the surface

temperature of the earth would be reduced by several degrees centigrade
and this would lead to a general cooling of the earth's climate. Humphreys
aiso maintained that if major volcanic eruptions occur once a year, or
even once every two yeers over a period of time, the snow line may be

depressed significantly possibly leading to a moderate ice age. Ina
recent article I H. Wexler of the U. S. Weather Bureau (3) states that

Humphreys volcanic Theory of Climates has considerable merit as compared

to the other climatic variation theories,
II,

PURPOSE

Determine whether it is possible for superweapons exploded on the
surface or underground to eject a sufficient quantity of just into the

stratosphere so ae to reduce insolation by 10% to 208.

IIIT.

JHE

TOTAL

QUANTITY OF SOJL

EJ

ALOFT

BY SUPERWEAPONS

If a simple comparison is made between the amount of material ejected

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500!

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oh

—

a

.

r

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poe

»

a

from the major volcanoes and that from atomic bombs or even from thermonuclear bombs it is at once evident that volcanoes eject far more total

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