THE SHORTER-TERM BIOLOGICAL HAZARDS GF a linear effect of about 0.3 percent per raentgen, if you put it on a per roentgen basis. This, as T say, is over an enormous range of radiation exposure. Now, this means, then, if you transform a little further that approximately in terms of the hit theory you have about 2 to 3 cells injured per 1,000 cells per 1 r of radiation exposure. If you test this out a little bit further in terms of what we know about the genetic effects of radiation, the genetic effects of radiation in terms of mammalian system, gives you at the level of 50 roentgens a mutation induced in about 1 cell out of 10 germinal cells. Then you multiply these two together, and you find per roentgen this means about 1 mutation in 500 cells or per 1,000 cells this is an induction of I new mutation of 2 cells out of every 1,000 cells exposed at the level of 1 roentgen. So that you see in terms of a system that we knowthat leads to immediate radiation damage in terms of the killing of cells associated with radiation effect, that both the genetic effect and the killing effect of cells per roentgen are the same order of magnitude, and thus we can very easily see a unifying bridge between these two systems of information that we can study. In one case the manifestations per surviving cell are rather subtle in character, and in another effect with relatively large number of cells killed as you would have about the 50 percent lethal dose of radiation exposure which extends from. about 200 to about 500 roentgens, physiologic geucration of symptoms involved in such effort. In Ceriof the recovery potentiality of these particuli, tissues, the lymphatie cells, the marrow, vou have a great eapacity of these cells to regenerate and replace the damaged ones that «re killed. As a matter of fact, the daily replacement of such tissues anyway is of the order of 10 percent replacement por day. So even at the levels of one r, 10 r or 100 r, the radiation induced damage is not an enormous burden compared with the ordinary replacements of such cells in such tissues. So if this were the level that we could view radiation effeet, 1 think we could be quite comfortably assured by the fact that the tissue potentiality of replacement is one that would lead us into a threshold effect of radiation and a very com- fortable one, because we ought to be able to replace thege cells, effect, and thatis the absolute numbers ofcells that may be involved. The amounts may be a qualitative difference in the kinds of cells that are left on the average after radiation exposure, andareleft on the averageafter the aging effect proceeds, sition of transformations of the cellular information on @ mutational basis so that wo could explain it on the basis of somatic cell mutation, accumulating with age. Tt is such a tempting strongly suggests that for such tissues as the the whole aging phenomenonin terms of acqui- system, indeed, because almost all the data that we have to work with fit. Nowever, thore is still another thing that we can work with from the standpoint of change with age on irreversible There may bea changein the absolute numher of cells that. survive within a given individual cither as a function of age or radiation exposure, The best information we have along this line is {he information that Nathan Schott of Baltimore has collected for man, which kidney, and perhaps the body as a whole, that there is a decrease jn active cell numbers amounting to about a 6 percent decline per decade for human tissues. This follows quite linearly over the whole of the measurable life span. So a combination of this perhaps with the change in the vigor of cells would certainly 8 The trouble in the problem as far as radiation effect at subtle levels is concerned, that the cells that do survive very likely will carry with them the same quantitative transformation of the nucleic protein structure as the germinal cells in terms of mutation. This would then be per roentgen at the generation of 1 or 2 new mutations per 1,000 cells. So that the surviving cells that fill and replace the celle that are damaged supposedly survive with this kind of a transformation of their inherent vitality. I think that this is where the genetic effects of radiation have a great deal in common. As far as we know, in critically testing these systems, we can be uncertain as to whetherthe life subtracting effect of radiation a significant results. You find that over this whole range, even though youare dealing with different species, for these three tissucs, the effecta between the mouse, rat, and rabbit and man are that per roentgen on a log scale of surviving tissue as a function of dose, you have of cells killed, aid of course quite a great 121 effect as to whethertheeffect is given all in one dose or is fractionated. This, of course, is the viewpoint that one largely takes for (he total mass formationof the total genetic offects from radiation where the total transformation of the genetic information is per roentgen and does not depend upon dosage rate. Howwoefinally interpret the life subtracting effects of radiation, I do not know. It would be very, very tempting at this time to place a _ haps direct measures of mytosis or turnover of these cells in a measuring system. If you takeall these together with respect ta dose you have a range of dose that extends from about 2,000 r at the upper end, down to about 15 rat the lower end, where you can get DISCUSSION ON TOPIC IT FALLOUT PIELD MILLION PER c.mm. x 408 to time after dose, perhaps the concentration of these cellular elements in the blood, or per- 4 depending upan (lie species, a very large number IRRADIATION DOSE GROUP S 120 the total cellular mass that. is left with respect is entirely linear in terms of whether a divided dose or a single dose give the same effect. EAGH POINT IS THE AVERAGE COUNT OF TEN ANIMALS UNLESS MARKED IN PARENTHESES Dr. Blair has just shown you some results on this. There is an entirely allowable viewpoint that a single dose may have 2 or 3 or 4 times the effect of a smaller rate of dose. But the statistics that all of us have to work with are so limited in their character that it would still permit a more unifying viewpoint that it does not make any difference for the life subtraction TOTAL r 410 14 843 687 1000 NONE Qo 2 4 6 8 10 '2 14 WEEKS POST IRRADIATION RED BLOOD CELLS, IRRADIATED AND CONTROL SURROS Fiaure 1.—Red blood cells, irradiated and control burros. 6 {8