energy region. For most weapons and soils, this is the most important source of ther- mal neutrons which cause most of the induced activity. Properties of soil elements pertaining to this most important effect are ignored. Elements are weighted strictly on the basis of the relative number of thermal neutrons they absorb. 2. No allowance is made for the distribution of activity with depth in soil nor for properties of the soil constituents which influence this distribution. 3. type. The neutron spectrum is assumed to be invariant with slant range and weapon In other respects, too, this method was developed from unrealistic assumptions. From a practical standpoint, however, the shortcomings above are the most important. 1.4 PREDICTION METHOD A prediction method (Reference 4) has been developed which requires the following: 1. Soil Data. 2. Neutron Data. Soil density (gm/cm') and percentage by weight of Na, Mn, Al. Gold neutrons versus slant range and total number of 14-Mev neutrons per kt produced external to the case. 1.4.1 Basie Theory. Briefly, the theory for this method is developed as follows: Ny = time-integrated neutron density from an isotropic source in air through N a thin layer of soi] at the surface _ = time-integrated neutron density through a thin layer at depth X below the surface Then, N = £(X)Ng (1.1) where f{(X) depends on the soil and the incident neutron spectrum. The number of neutrons absorbed by a particular isotope in a layer of unit area dx thick at depth X is where 0; is the number of atoms per unit volumeof an isotope (considered constant with depth), and k;(X) depends on the capture cross section for this isotope and the neutron spectrum at X~ The contribution made by the radioactive daughter of this isotope to the residual gamma-radiation field above the surface is di = gi(X)dmje . -A\ it (1.3) The gamma-ray attenuation function, gj(X), depends primarily on the density of the soil and the energy of gamma radiations from the radioactive daughter. When there is no gamma-emitting daughter, B(X) = 0. Radiation of the soil by neutrons is considered to be instantaneous att = 0. No daughter-daughter gamma-emitting products are considered since the neutron-induced 10

Select target paragraph3