Table 9.

Group

Risks of thyroid nodularity from radiation in children.*

(years follow-up)

Rongelap (27)

Ailingnae (27)
Utirik (27)

All of above

Rochester (25)

Ann Arbor (17)
Beach &

Type

Risk

Dose

rad

(rads)

Benign

18, y

710-1150

26.7

"

312 (av)

24.4

"
"

280-450
60-95

x-ray (162)

119 (av)

x-ray (162)

20 (av)

Dolphin (20)
UNSCEAR (17)
ABCC (20)
ABCC (20)
Modan et al.

x-ray (182)
x-ray (97)
Yon (172)
Y,n (172)
x-ray (163)

20-1000
<20
6-6.5

Maxon (21.5)

x-ray (164)

270 (av)

Albert et al.

*Risk is calculated from the equation

No.

29.4
16.7

Carcinoma

1.6

0
3.8

1.9

3.0

24.0

2.2

12.3

1.7
0.5-1.5
1.3 (all ages)
0.2 (all ages)
4.2
1.5

of cases x 1076

(See Table 4,
dose x years at risk’
Appendix IV.) Unoperated cases in the Marshallese groups were not included
in the estimates. The incidence in the matched comparison Marshallese population has been subtracted from that in the exposed groups in determining the
risk.
If the actual number of years at risk were used, i.e., subtraction of
latent period, the risk values would be higher in the Marshallese.

studies under way indicate that they
in individual thyroid doses probably
water consumption at the time of the
doses to the children. Undoubtedly,

may be too low.* Considerable variation
resulted from differences in food and
fallout. The greatest uncertainty was in
the two boys exposed at one year of age

who developed thyroid atrophy and myxedema received doses well above those

calculated, as explained in Appendix II.
From the Marshallese experience it appears that there is a greater
propensity to develop thyroid nodularities after radioiodine exposure in the
children than in the adults. This is related not only to the smaller size of
their glands (resulting in larger doses) but possibly also to the rapid growth
of the gland (from 1-2 grams at birth to about 18 at maturity) and increased
*Even if the Marshallese thyroid doses were twice as high, the risk estimates
would still be higher than would be accounted for on the basis of 131; exposure alone.

~ 78 -

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