define six Am activity strata (Figure 1) within which the locations
of the soil samples were randomized.
The idea was that a greater density
of samples was needed in areas of high concentrations than in low-level
areas since variability increases with mean concentration.
The objective
was to minimize the variance of the estimated total amount of Pu for all
strata combined.
In this paper, we make a more complete use of FIDLER data on the following grounds:
1.

As shown by Church et al. (1975), there is a good overall correlation, in log scale, between wet chemistry Pu analyses and Am FIDLER
measurements at 1 foot height.

2.

The cost of a FIDLER reading is roughly 50 times less than that of
a Pu analysis on a soil sample.

The way in which we propose to use the FIDLER data in conjunction with
the Pu analysis is borrowed from meteorologists (cf. Cressman, 1959;
Chauvet et al., 1976).
In order to reconstruct a given field, say the
constant presssure surface height (geopotential), meteorologists first

construct an initial "guess field," obtained by feeding a numerical

weather forecast model with yesterday's data.
Then this guess field is
updated to make it consistent with today's observations.
Here we will use the FIDLER readings to construct our initial guess of Pu
and then use the actual Pu data to make local corrections.
Clearly the
proviso is that the FIDLER data carry enough information about Pu concentrations to devise a sensible initial guess.
Our first task is thus to
study the FIDLER-Pu relationship.

STUDY OF THE FIDLER-PLUTONIUM RELATIONSHIP

Since the data range over several orders of magnitude,

transform them into the logarithmic scale.

stabilizing the variance.

it is natural to

This also has the effect of

In this paper, all logarithms are in base 10.

Gilbert et al. (1975) studied the correlation between untransformed Pu
and FIDLER data at Area 13 and other sites where the Pu to Am ratio
computed on the basis of soil samples was nearly constant.
Pu-FIDLER

correlations ranged from near zero in low-activity strata to about 0.95

near some GZs.
Gilbert and Eberhardt (1976) concluded that except for
low-activity strata, a double sampling approach (in the sense of Cochran,
1963, Chapter 12) using the Pu-FIDLER correlation (untransformed data)
was feasible on grounds of reduced cost and increased precision.
The
correlation between Pu and FIDLER in logarithmic scale for Area 13 was
found by Church et al. (1975) to be 0.92 for data from all activity

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