=

0.0125x1072
0 :

9

r/hr (natural background)

= 0.0181x10"7 r/hr, the dose rate of cesium-137 required at H+l hour to give the desired
dose rate at 2O years.
ec.

Then, to obtain the curies of cesium-137 per square

mile needed to give 0.0125x107" r/hr at 20 years,
1 megacurie/mi- -

4 r/br

x

0.0181x10°? r/hr

x = 4.5 curies cesium-137/mi° at H+l hour to double
the background at 20 years.
d.

Then the fission yield required would be,

3.5x10

“2 curies/mie

KT/curie cesium-137

= l.lxto! xr = 1.1210" mr.

The result indicates that 1.1x10’ KY or 1.1x10" mr must be produced in
order to double the background by gamma radiation at 20 years.

Because

the spontaneous mutation rate is only partly due to background radiation, the numerical estimate of 1.1x10+ MI given above probably represents a lower limit to the value of fission yleld required to double
the spontaneous mutation rate.

A non-uniform world-wide distribution

would alter this figure in direct proportion to the non-uniformity of
the distribution in the major area under consideration.
Finally, mention should be made of the spontaneous abortion
rate.

According to one authority, "a conservative estimate would indi-

cate that about every fifth pregnancy in private practice ends in
spontaneous abortion, and the percentage would increase considerably
were the very early cases taken into account .”25/

Since abortions are

genetic deaths, it can be seen that the population of 100,000,000 discussed above, with its 2,700,000 births per year would have in excess

of 500,000 abortions annually to be counted as genetic deaths independent of any artificial radiation experience.

It is also worth

35/ Stender, H.J., Williams Obstetrics, Sth Edition, Appleton-Century
94

Select target paragraph3