(Appendix F) for Umbrella thus becomes 7,800 feet (the similarity of the final surge dims
for the two Shots is entirely coincidental). Although the postulated two-stage radial expa.
resulting from the influence of the atoll reef cannot be conclusively demonstrated, Such s

behavior is in better agreement with the reported observations of Project 1.3 (Reference
The final radii adopted for analysis of the gamma records are essentially the same as the
arrived at in Section 3.3.4 from analyses using the hypothetical surge center H (Appendis
and Figures 3.136 and 3.137}.
The centers of all photo-boundaries just described for the Wahoo and the Umbrella sur

are considered to be coincident with that of the primary smooth boundary By.

This cent

called the photographic surge center X (Appendix F),is assumed to be independent of the
ported surface wind speeds up to the time of the last photographically determined surge b

ary (3.5 minutes for Wahoo and 6 minutes for Umbrella}. After this time it is presumed
move in accordance with the official Task Force surface winds (15 knots from 090° T for
and 20 knots from 050° T for Umbrella). Since two methods of determining the surge cen

are employed in this report, special care should be taken to note the difference between t
photographic Surge center X just described and the hypothetical surge center H, whichi
simply the point defined by moving Surface zero downwind in accordance with official surt
winds starting at zero time. The photographic surge center X is used exclusively throug
this section; similar calculations using the hypothetical surge center H and arriving at e:

tially the same conclusions are presented in Section 3.3.4. Although the difference betwe

these two centers is never large, the photographic surge center X for Wahoo undergoes:
somewhat abrupt change in direction of travel between 3 and 4 minutes, which probably ri
in fictitious variations in the boundary plots (Appendix F) between these times.
The two representations of visible surge position accompanying each gamma record ha
been graphically determined for each coracle location, uSing the photo-boundaries and wi
movement just described. Although these procedures are admittedly rough, actual base :
movement is Sufficiently approximated to reveal some of the subtler aspects of the gamm
dose rate records. For brevity these two plots are hereinafter referred to as the “trans:

and the “boundary plot” (Appendix F).

The transit plot consists of a plan view of the mos

probable phote- and smooth boundaries at the times of their individual initial and final tra
at a given Station. These transit plots are presented to indicate appropriate intercompar
between the given record and other records at similar stages of transit or base surge dev
ment. The boundary plot is determined by measuring the shortest distance from the give
tion to the appropriate photo-boundary at 1-minute intervals. The smooth curve drawn tr
these points is considered only an estimate of the actual surge position, which includes vi

tions due to local irregularities in boundary, changes in surface wind speed and direction

changes in the rate of base surge expansion. The sign of the plotted values indicates whe
the particular boundary is radially closer to the surge center than the station (negative va

or radially beyond the station (positive value).

These boundary plots are used to correlai

various photographically detectable features of the surge with specific portions of the gan
dose rate record.
The base Surge approach velocity is a vectorial combination of the radial surge expans
and the local surface wind. At least two (not necessarily identical) approach velocities m

considered, viz, that of the visible surge and that of the alrborne radioactive material. T

visual approach velocity may be calculated for either the primary photo-boundary P, (Ar
dix F) or for the outer smooth boundary B,. Since the distance of either boundary as a f
tion of time is given in the boundary plots, the slope of the appropriate curve at some tir

(or distance) prior to surge arrival yields the desired velocities.

In most instances thes:

slopes are changing rapidly, thus the approach velocities are quite Sensitive to the point:

which the slope is determined.

The point giving the most favorable comparison with radi

logical approach velocities is one representing a distance of 500 feet from the station at t
time of the first major peak in dose rate. All visible approach velocities tabulated in Tal
3.11 are determined for this point (estimated values are enclosed in parentheses). Agree

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