beclassified SOD DIR 5200.10 AMEX 20 OPERATIONS PLAN NO. - 4.5 INTELLIGENCE, SECURITYAND PUBLIC INFORMATION HEADQUARTERS TASK GROUP 7.4, PROVISIONAL Kirtland Air Force Base New Mexico 15 June 1954 1. INTELLIGENCE:a Summary of Situation: (Subject to contimal revision), (1) The world political situation as of 15 June 1954 shows a general picture of widespread political unrest. (2) Strictly speaking, the world is at peace but it is actually in an indefinable state imown as "cold war" in which the forces of the East (Communists) are lined up against those of the West (Anti-Communists) and oppose gach other openly by every means short of a declaration of war. In maintaining this state of cold war the scientific discovery and application of atomic energy has played an important part in restraining the potential enemy. The fear of the destructive force of atomic weapons has undoubtedly proved a deterrent to the aggressive attitude of any enomy government. They are striving by every possible means to increase their technical knowledge and application of atomic energy and thereby increase their potential military force. (3) It moy be expected that the enemy will make a determined and continuing effort to gain knowledge of all atomic experiments and to interfere with them by every means possible, short of operations which would precipitate hostilities. be Enemy capabilities: The capabilities listed below make it possible for the enemy (considered herein as the Soviets) to take the following action against the operntional area: (1) Submarine reconnaissance. (2) Air reconnaissance. (3) Ground reconnaissance or sabotage by landing parties from submorino. (4) Raids from submarine or surfece shipse (5) Raids by aircraft. ce Conclusions: Capability (1) is considered the most likely to occur under conlitions existing today. Capability (2) is a possibility TASK GROUP 7.4 OPRS PLAN NO, 4=54 ANNEX B “ST1a ew Bal Declossified pop DIR 5200.10