per gram of soil was estimated.

Corrections to the soil activity were made on

the basis of results for soil sample blanks, comparison sample blanks, and

method yield.

,

A listing of the gamma-ray spectroscopy results and 1297 results for
soil samples is shown in Table 6. The earliest surface soils dated back to
1955, about one and one-half years post-detonation of BRAVO. The 60¢0, 137¢s,
and '55Eu activities per gram of soil appeared to have declined slowly over the
years, while !29r soil resuits declined at a much more rapid rate. Individual
counting errors were normaily less than 5%, although a few samples approached

20%.

3. Estimate of Initial Surface Activity. Positive '25sh results (see
Table 6) were too sparse for inferences to be drawn. For 1291, results were
plentiful and, therefore, a least squares fitting was performed on results for
nuclide soil activity per unit mass of dry soil vs days post-detonation using
linear, exponential, logarithmic, and power function models. Sample results varied from their best-fit value by as mich as a factor of 9 and by an average fac~
tor of 2.5 over the period 1955 to 1977.
The best-fitting function was determined from a comparison of the
co-efficient of determination for each model. Functions used with !29f results
for Rongelap soil were plotted in Figure 3. Omiy the 1955 to 1957 results were
plotted to illustrate the following points. For
I soil results, the bestfitting function was exponential. All four fitting functions were generally use-

ful in predicting soil activity per gram at times after 600 days post-BRAVO for

all nuclides. A significant divergence between functions occurs during the period several hours out to one year post-BRAVO. For example, at 0.5 day the difference between the exponential and power function estimate spans 5 orders of
magnitude for 1297,
Single exponential fitting gave the best coefficient of determination
for !291, the exponential fit of the 1297 soil results at Rongelap led us to
estimate a mean residence time in surface soil of about 5.4 years. The deserip-

tive on these samples indicated that they were soils originally located at

depths no greater than 5 cm (? in.) beneath the surface.
4%»

Ratio of Nuclide Activityto Total Fallout Activity in Archival Soils.

The ratio of '29f activity to total fallout activity would help to determine
whether the archival soil anaylsis for radioiodine corresponded to other measured or hypothetical ratios. The surface-soil activity of each nuclide meas-

_ured by Srauer was estimated for 0.5 and 1.5 days post~detonation.

These were

the assumed times of cessation of fallout at Rongelap and Utirik, respectively.

The value for the nuclide activity per unit mass of soil at the cessation of
fallout was estimated from the best fit of archival soil results. For !291, the
estimate was recorded in Table 7, columA.

At Rongelap, the total fallout activity per unit soil, based on four

soil samples taken March 8, 1954 (0C68), was 3.0 x 10° + 4.1 x 10° Bq got (8.2

+11 uci g!) at 0.5 day.

The total fallout activity per unit mass of Utirik

soil was 11% of the Rongelap result based on a ratio of exposure rate at the two

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