SUMMARY
A study was undertaken to reexamine thyroid absorbed dose estimates for
people accidentally exposed to fallout at Rongelap, Sifo, and Utirik Islands

from the Pacific weapon test known as Operation Castle BRAVO.

The study

included: 1) reevaluation of radiochemical analysis, to relate results from
pooled urine to intake, retention, and excretion functions; 2) analysis of
neutron-irradiation studies of archival soil samples, to estimate areal activities of the iodine isotopes; 3) analysis of source term, weather data, and meteorological functions used in predicting atmospheric diffusion and fallout

deposition, to estimate airborne concentrations of the iodine isotopes; and 4)
reevaluation of radioactive fallout, which contaminated a Japanese fishing ves-

sel in the vicinity of Rongelap Island on March 1, 1954, to determine fallout
components. The conclusions of the acute exposure study were that the population mean thyroid absorbed doses were 21 gray (2,100 rad) at Rongelap, 6.7 gray
(670 rad) at Sifo, and 2.8 gray (280 rad) at Utirik. The overall thyroid cancer

_visk we estimated was in agreement with results published on the Japanese

exposed at Nagasaki and Hiroshima. We now postulate that the major route for inJ take of fallout was by direct ingestion of food prepared and consumed outdoors.
We believed urine bioassay results for 1317 excreted from people exposed
at Rongelap to be accurate. We extrapolated our thyroid dose estimates from
measured and derived quantities which were related to urine bioassay results.
The facts which related were |) fallout arrival and observation times, 2) size

and nuclide composition of BRAVO fallout (also known as Bikini ash), 3) Rongelap,

Utirik and Sifo Island exposure-rate measurements and 4) diet and living pattern
observations. The !3lr intake, which we estimated from !31!r measured in urine,
was used by us as a normalization point to link related facts. This allowed us
to estimate the intake of other iodine isotopes and the intake of

radiotelluriums.

Studies used by us to deduce the amount of 129y deposited at Rongelap and
Utirik as a result of the BRAVO detonation revealed a much greater level of 1297
in soil than could be derived by using other methods. Additionally, the uncertainty associated with soil measurements wasverygreat.We concluded that

other weapons tests may have influenced ‘tthe soil concentrations of 129, and that.

isobar§ rather than isotopes of L297mayh
have exhibited similar behavior. Thus,
using * 9t to derive the intake of otherradioiodineswas not possible.

The meteorological approach used to assess thyroid dose did not result in
agreement with relatable quantities. The value for predicted increase in exposure rate based on meteorology, or the meteorological-based estimate of wholebody dose, duration of fallout, or airborne activity concentration were not consistent with values obtained by measurement or estimates derived by different
mechods.
The composition, specific activity and particle size of BRAVO fallout
(Bikini ash) were in agreement with other observedfacts. Based on BRAVO fallout composition and specific activity studies, surface activity results which we
derived for varous locations downwind of the detonation site were in agreement
with directly measured surface activities made at these same locations shortly

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