DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION
Interest in the relative risk of 131, taken internally and external
radiation dose to the thyroid relates to radiation protection and medical care
issues. Unfortunately for those interested in obtaining information on this
important issue, the complex mixture of radionuclides taken up by the Marshallese precludes such an analysis. The results obtained for these studies are
specific to the case where the thyroid dose was due to a mixture of shortlived radioisotopes of fodine, some of which were produced by the decay of

tellurium within the body.

Current information on animal and human data ¥39

Summarized recently in NCRP Report 80 (2).
The Committee concluded that
I
was less then one third as effective for thyroid cancer induction as external

radiation. This can not be compared dyyectly to the results of the present
study because of the small amount of
I in the Marshallese exposures. In

most animal studies, which used rodents, high TSH levels were found to be

131,
necessary co-factors for thyroid cancer induction. Thus, goitrogen plus
exposures were needed to induce thyroid cancer, except in several studies
using Long-Evans rats, ybich behaved differently from all other strains
studied. Results of
I treatment of children for hyperthyroidism were
reported in two large studies. In reviewing results of treatment of nine
children, Sheline et al. (9) found that all of them subsequently developed
thyroid nodules and one was diagnosed as having of thyroid cancer, about which

there was disagreement regarding pathology.
thyroid replacement therapy after

high endogenous TSH levels.

None of those children received

I treatment, and all presumably developed

In Los iggeles, at a later date, 73 children were

treated with approximately the same

I dose, all were placed on thyroid

replacement, and none developed thyroid nodules (10).

Thus the relative risk

of thyroid dose from internal emitters compared to external radiation for

Marshall Islanders may be influenced by a high TSH co-factor, since thyroid
replacement therapy began 11 years after exposure.

Replacement therapy was

recommended only for the high-dose group which, at that time, was thought to
be the people at Rongelap.
Also no increased incidence of thyroid cancer was seep in large numbers
of human subjects exposed to similar or higher doses of
I in the treatment
of thyrotoxicosis (11), or in children given i3ly in lower diagnostic doses

(12).

Hypothyroidism is a nonstochastic effect of ionizing radiation exposure,

with estimated threshold for induction of 2000 rad to the thyroid (1).

In the

Marshallese children, whose thyroids were exposed to doses in the several
thousand rad range, hypothyroidism and increased TSH levels certainly existed
in the early years following exposure.
In later years, uneven acceptance of

thyroid supplementation by children may have led to persistent increased TSH
levels. The combination of high TSH and high internal and external radiation
doses may account for the unusually high incidence of nodules in this population, and in the unusual age distribution of sensitivity.

The numbers of individuals in the study are small, and statistical segregation of the interacting factors is not possible. Thus, it will be difficult
to draw precise conclusions from this study with respect to apportionment of
risk between internal and external doges - pyrther, the differences between
the Teqdologica) characteristics of
I,
I, and
I and the larggy doses

from
T and
I make it difficult to assess the relative risk of
I and
external radiation in this circumstance. A simple statistical model was used
(3) to indicate the one sigma confidence interval. This confidence interval
is indicated in the following paragraph in parentheses. The standard deviation of the risk estimate, E, was 1.5 times the average value for the risk
estimate, and development of this standard deviation was given by Lessard et

al. (3).

28

Select target paragraph3