INTRODUCTION
The long-term health effects of external thyroid irradiation are known to
include excess hypothyroidism, thyroid nodules, and thyroid cancer, and in
this study we attempt to quantitate the relative risk of internal irradiation
of the thyroid, for induction of thyroid cancer.

The effects of external

irradiation of child thyroids have been summarized in BEIR [II (1) and by the
NCRP (2).
Internal irradiation of the thyroid from a mixture of radionuclides
has occurred in children as a result of accidental exposure to fallout from
nuclear weapons testing. Legger numbers of persons having received diagnostic
and therapeutic doses from

I used in medical applications.

Apart from the

Marshallese, studies of internally irradiated human populations have not
revealed an increased risk of thyroid malignancy (1,2). For example, studies
of a group of children exposed to 90,000 person-rad in Utah, pave not revealed
any excess thyroid cancer. The fallout in Utah contained
I and was
reported to deliver up to several hundred rad of absorbed dose to thyroids of
children who were less than 10 years of age (1,2).
There gre several studies
which report no carcinogenic effect from large doses, 9f
I (2). For
example, Holm reported that persons irradiated with

I, with doses ranging

between 6000 and 10,000 rad, exhibited no statistically significant increase
in thyroid cancer (2).

Studies of the children in the Marshall Islands con-

ducted since 1954, on the other hand, do show a statistically significant
increase in thyroid cancer in these irradiated subjects. Since the Marshall
Isiands' children were exposed simultaneously to external and internal
irradiation, we have analyzed the data in an attempt to relate each type of
exposure, internal versus external radiation, to the observed thyroid health
effects.
The mixture of radionuclides, coggributing.to internal dose in the
Marshallese, included mogtly short-lived
I and
I, and only 10-20% of the

thyroid dose came from
I, thus the radiobiological considerations differ
greatly in these various exposure circumstances.

Estimates of thyroid~absorbed dose were recently reassessed for people
exposed to fallout in the Marshall Islands (3). The accidental exposure of
people on March 1, 1954, occurred as a result of nuclear weapons testing.
Over the years, several estimates of thyroid-absorbed dose were made (4,5).
The earliest estimate of thyroid dose was reported by Cronkite (4) who indi-~-

cated a population-averaged thyroid dose. A 1962 study by James (5) listed
the most probable thyroid dose to girls who were 3 co 4 years old at the time
of exposure.

Howsver, thg James dose estimate was flawed by, she incorrect

association of
I and
I dose relative to the dose from
I
The most
recent assessment of dose provided detailed information on the type of
nuclides in fallout,

the mode of intake, and the contributions from internal

and external sources. The study of Lessard et al. (3) established greater
absorbed dose to people based upon greater intake of the shorter-lived radiolodines.

The thyroid dose ranged from several hundred to five thousand rad,

and the highest doses were assigned to young people. The revised dose estimates accounted for the radioactivity from all iodine isotopes.
Uncertainties with the dose estimates are associated with the amount of
radioactivity measured in the urine of the exposed people, the intake of the

short-lived radiotellurium and radioiodine isotopes and percent of thyroid

uptake as as determined from a physiologic model, errors in estimating the
exact amount of each radioiodine isotope, the dose rate and pattern of energy
distribution from this radioiodine mixture, and the shape and thickness of the

thyroid.

Adams et al. (6) reported the medical status of the Marshallese accidentally exposed to fallout. Through March 1985 there were 35 adénomatous
nodules, 5 adenomas, 9 papillary carcinomas, 1 atypical adenoma or follicular
carcinoma, and 2 occult papillary carcinomas. A comparison group of equal

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