i ACKNOWLEDGMENTS SUMMARY Prospiew — Facrs — Discussion — CoNncLusions — RECOMMENDATION INTRODUCTION CHoIcE oF TARGETS — URBAN COMPLEX AS A TARGET — INDUSTRY AS A Tarcetr— Aimina Points WITHIN UrsBaN CoMPLEXES — Lanp Use — Roap Network i iii 1 7 18 POSSIBLE CIVIL DEFENSE ACTIONS AND FEASIBILITY Mass Evacuation — Mass Evacuation To ExisTInG SHELTER IN SMALLER Towns AND Farms — Private anp Pusztic SHELTERS 21 EFFECTIVENESS OF CIVIL DEFENSE ACTIONS DeatTus ¥rRoM IMMEDIATE Errects — DEATHS FROM FALLOUT — FaLLouT anp Evacuation — Errecr oF WIDESPREAD ATTACK — FaL.ouT anp TRADITIONAL CIVIL DEFENSE 31 CIVIL DEFENSE COSTS Current Cost — Evacuation Program — SHELTER PRoGRAM — Tm REQUIRED AND AVAILABILITY OF MATERIAL — IMPLEMENTING THE SHELTER PROGRAM 58 CONCLUSIONS. AND RECOMMENDATION ConcLusions — RECOMMENDATION 67 REFERENCES i } ANNEXES t | 1 THE ENEMY ATTACK Leruat Ranar — Accuracy — WaRNING TIME A. Stocnastic Mopeu ror Estimating EFFrecrivENess oF BoMBING OF AGGREGATED TARGETS B. Important Factors iN THE DEVELOPMENT OF AN UNDERGROUND SHELTER PLAN FoR A METROPOLITAN TARGET AREA coe ae ee eee Fan TUO eneveerr peonyONENESS oeeens On nnn nT Perey CONTENTS i 69 81 $2