CONFIDENTIAL
Table 1 summarizes some aspects of the target cities.

these targets affords a rather general representation.

It is apparent that choice of

Three are coastal cities and three are

inland. Thecities vary in size from 350,000 to 2,200,000. Twocities have relative freedom
to move in any direction. Twoare limited to 180-deg movement, and two (for different
reasons) are limited to less than 180-deg possible movement. The principal activities of
the cities also are varied.
TABLE 1
CHARACTERISTICS OF TARGET CITIES

City

Location

Boston
Dayton
Milwaukee
St. Louis
San Francisco

East Coast
Inland
Inland
Inland
West Coast

Washington

East Coast

Population,

Movement

thous

limitations

Predominant activity

2200
350
800
1400
2000

270 deg
None
180 deg
180 deg
Peninsular

Port, diversified industry
Manufacturing
Port, food processing
Manufacturing
Port, petroleum, food processing

1700

None

Government

a

URBAN COMPLEX AS A TARGET

General Population
Of the six targets studied, all but one, the San Francisco Bay area, have a single center

of population, a point at which the explosion of a single weapon could produce more casualties than an explosion at any other point. In the case of Washington at least, there is no
shift in the location of this point from day to night,* although there is a marked increase in
density of population around this point during the working day (see Fig. 1). Figure 2

shows by concentric 4-mile bands [designed to correspond to Federal Civil Defense Administration (Fcpa) zones of A, B, C, and D damage for a 10-Mt weapon with a ground zero
(az) at the Ellipse, near the White House *] the distribution of day and night populations

superimposed on the target area under consideration.
traffic lanes leaving each zone.

This figure also shows the number of

The nighttime (resident) population distributions of the other target areas (Boston,
Dayton, Milwaukee, St. Louis, and San Francisco) are shown in Figs. 3 to 7. The numbers
in the squares represent thousands of residents within units 2000 by 2000 m each. For
each target the centroid of population is indicated.

Since the San Francisco Bay area has

two population clusters (Oakland and San Francisco), which are separated by water, two
population centroids are indicated for this target.
Special Populations
Because of the importance of physicians in the postattack situation, the distribution
of greater Washington area physicians during the day and night was plotted. It was found
that although the density of physicians at the center of the city markedly increased during
the day, this increase was proportional to the general increase in population density, and

as in the population as a whole, there was no shift in the point of highest density from day

to night.

*Daytime population figures were not available to permit similar comparisons within the other targets.

ORO-R-17 (App B)

9

Select target paragraph3