2.

Birth Defects,Risks_
eee

Table 3 gives the calculations for the estimates of birth defects.

B.

RISK ESTIMATES BASED ON BEIR-III

Table 4 gives risk estimates based on BEIR-III risk coefficients.

These

were calculated for comparpiion purposes only and was not used in the
Bikini book.

The highest estimates for cancer risk result from using

the linear relative risk model and are about the same as those given in

Table-2-for=the-relative-ciskmodel_—.The-towestestimatesresutt—From
the-Vanear—quadratit

Table 2 for the relative risk model.

The lowest estimates result from

the linear-quadratic absolute risk model and are slightly less than those
for the absolute model in Table 2.

Thus, as far as estimates of cancer

risk are conceited, those obtained using risk coefficients from BEIR-I
are in the same general range as those obtained using risk coefficients
from BEIR-III.

Risk estimates for birth defects obtained using the risk factor from
BEIR-I gives values about three times those obtained using the upper
value of the range of risk factors given in BEIR-III.

If BEIR-III

risk factors for bith defects represent a more enlightened assessment
of this potential consequence of radiation exposure than the factor
taken from BEIR-I for overall health defects, then the estimates Given
in the Bikini book may be conservative by a factor of three.

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