all live for the 30 years, is

e

=

t

p

A

?

"te,

2

wn

Ppoas

3

a

,! 5 eo
ale
a)

fei

Vas

‘v

—
?

1 - eAt) = 11,902 rads

For those born after the return, the population would be the difference

between the total population in 30 years, the number of deaths and the
original 550 people or 1134.

is 8949/1134 = 7.9 rads.
11,902/550 = 22 rads.

Thus, the per capita dose for this group

For the original 550, the per capita dose is

The ratio of these two to give an estimate of the

fraction of the full 30 year dose received by the children is 0.36.

The assumption of no deaths in the original 550 returning was made for
simplicity and the lack of good death rate data.

We also compared the age characteristics of the Marshallese from Table IV-3
and the U.S. population in 1970.
curve.

This comparison is given in the attached

The slopes are similar above age 35 but the magnitudes are distorted

by the high birth rate in the Marshall Islands.

However, in terms of the

relative risk the similar slopes suggest that if the natural cancer rates
in the two populations are similar, the relative risk for people above 35 in
both populations would be similar because most of the cancer ‘occurs at ages

from about 40 and above.

However, the magnitude of the relative risk in

the U.S. used for the Marshallese will be high by a factor af samewhere
around 2-3 because of the distortion caused by the very high proportion
of young people who have a relatively low natural cancer incidence.

Using the preceding calculations for a population of 550, calculations

For a population of 550 (from preceding):
eo

were made for other population sizes.

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