ORIGIN OF RISK COEFFICIENTS
I. BEIR-I
A. Cancer (Tables 3-3 and 3-4)
BEIR-I

Derived

Cancer Deaths/year in U.S.
from 0.1 rem/year

Cancer Deaths/106 person rem

(pop=197,863,000)

Absolute

Relative

576

738

30 year elevated risk

1,210

lifetime elevated risk

1,485

Leukemia

Absolute

Relative

26

37

2,436

61

123

8,340

75

42]

3,174-9,078

87-101

160-458

.

Other Cancers

Range

1,726-2,001

B. Birth Defects (page 2)
5 rem/30 years ————®100-1800 cases of dominant diseases and

defects per year (3.6 million births/

year)=0.05% incidence per year

(5 X this at equilibrium)

In addition--a few chromosomal defects
and recessive diseases and a few

congenital defects due to single gene
defects and chromosome aberrations

Total incidence is 100 to 27,000/year
at equilibrium=0.75% at equilibrium
or 0.1% in the first generation
Overal] il] health:

5% - 50% of 711

health is proportional to mutation

rate

Using 20% and doubling dose of 20 rem,
5 rem per generation—* 5% increase
in i1] health

5%/5 rem in 30 years at equilibrium
or 1%/5 rem in first generation = 0.2%/rem - 30 year dose

Select target paragraph3