Table 9.

Group

Risks of thyroid nodularity from radiation in children.*

(years follow-up)
Rongelap (27)
Ailingnae (27)
Utirik (27)

Type

(rads)

Benign

Carcinoma

IB,
"

710-1150
280-450

26.7
29.4

1.6
0

312 Cav)
119 (av)
20 (av)

24.4

1.9
3.0
2.2

"

"
x-ray (162)
x-ray (162)

Dolphin (20)
UNSCEAR (17)
ABCC (20)

x-ray (182)
x-ray (97)
Y¥,n (172)

ABCC (20)

60-95

3.8

24.0

1.7
0.5-1.5
1.3 (all ages)

20-1000

Modan et al.

x-ray (163)

<20

Maxon (21.5)

x-ray (164)

270 (av)

6-6.5

*Risk is calculated from the equation
Appendix IV.)

16.7

,

yn (172)

Albert et al.

Risk

rad

All of above
Rochester (25)
Ann Arbor (17)
Beach &

Dose

0.2 (all ages)

12.3

4.2
1.5

No. of cases x 1076

(See Table 4,
dose x years at risk’
Unoperated cases in the Marshallese groups were not included

in the estimates. The incidence in the matched comparison Marshallese population has been subtracted from that in the exposed groups in determining the

risk.

If the actual number of years at risk were used,

i.e.,

subtraction of

latent period, the risk values would be higher in the Marshallese.

studies under way indicate that they may be too low.* Considerable variation
in individual thyroid doses probably resulted from differences in food and
water consumption it the time of the fallout. The greatest uncertainty was in

doses to the children.
Undoubtedly, the two boys exposed at one year of age
who developed thyroid atrophy and myxedema received doses well above those

calculated, as explained in Appendix II.

From the Marshallese experience it appears that there is a greater

propensity to develop thyroid nodularities after radioiodine exposure in the
children than in the adults. This is related not only to the smaller size of
their glands (resulting in larger doses) but possibly also to the rapid growth
of the gland (from 1-2 grams at birth to about 18 at maturity) and increased
*Even if the Marshallese thyroid doses were twice as high, the risk estimates
would still be higher than would be accounted for on the basis of 13ly exposure alone.

-~ 78 -

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