Maj. Gen. Clear!”
in the report.

ea.

“* 25 Novenber 1953

On the contrary, all evidence indicates that adequate

samples were, in fact, obtained.

Ivy experience (a) does not confira that

sent sampling techniques are inadequate for sampling high yield weapons,

) does not give reliable informstion on cloud turbulence, and (c) does

not show that the bulk of the boxb mxterial is carried into the stratosyhere. Furthermore, the author, on Page 10, restricts his analysis of-

Bomb cloud dynamics to "detonations at some distances above the grouni",

vhereas, the Mike shot was a surface shot.

The statement made in the last sentence on Page 14 of the report that

such boxb material may be carried up considerable distances into the stratoephere is very different from the statement that the bulk of the bomb
Faterial is forced into the stratosphere. .

6.

.

The reader is cautioned to read the second conclusion under the

heading “With Respect To Evidence From High Yiel@ Detonations" with the
qualifications of the second and third sentences on Page 13 in mind. It

4s also constructive to compare the two reports of Mike veather given in

Items 1 and 2 on Pages 16 and 17.

as the following:

The first report makes such statements

"The general susceptibility of the atmosphere to con-

vection fs illustrated by the reports of cumilus and towering cumlus clouds
at both Eniwetok and Xvajalein as well as by reports of showers and light- ©

ning",

The second report that "personnel in the WB-29 informed me that

there vere only scattered low clouds in the vicinity of the atoll, whose

bases were estimated near 1800 feet and whose average tops vere estimated

to be near &,000 feet".

Just why the author of the report chose to ignore

the first of these reports, and base his conclusions completely on the
second, is not clear from the report itself.

The conclusions on Fage ii "With Respect to Certain Operational
Problems” have been discussed above, however, it is worthwhile to point

out that conclusion 2.b. on a high latitude, low stratosphere, continental,

winter situation cannot be drawn from the experience of JIF-132 which was

restricted to a low latitude, high stratosphere, mid-ocean, fall situation.
On Page 1 of the report, the authors point out the fallacy of making

operational decisions on the basis of ideas solely conceived from meteoro-

logical experience obtained close to homs. In view of the knowledge of
this pitfall, it is surprising that, in this last conclusion, they would
be guilty of committing the same fallacy in reverse.
Finally, it should be emphasized that, as stated on the title yece, this

is a report to the Commander of the Tesk Force, not by him.

As such, it

represents the opinion of two individuals and should be given weight
accordingly. In my opinion, the portions written by Dr. Palmer are
excellent and should be accepted as authoritative. Unfortunately, Cdr.
Pate failed to be objective in those portions attributable to him and, for

this resson, much of his part must be heavily discounted.

Original signed by
ALVIN C. GRAVES
ALViG C. GRAVES
ACG: vw

COPIED/DOE Enclosure (2)
LANL RC

Ta

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