2, Where this fallout will fall out
3. What will happen to it
(a) how much will decay or otherwise be
harmless
(bo) how much will directly affect man
as internal or external radiation
(c) how much damage, if any, man will
suffer from it
C. Using the knowledge now available, how much
information does one need to postulate concerning
the characteristics of future weapons firings
(test or war) so that one could predict with a
certainty appropriate for policy-making purposes
the same sort of information as discussed above
for future firings?
1.
Is such a prediction possible even assuming
unlimited information concerning the firing
characteristics? How would it be made?
2. Isa postulated rate of firing (yleld per
unit time) heaningful? What in principle
does "present rate of firing" mean? Is a
postulated.vate of firing sufficient information
by itself for making the sort of prediction
named here?
3. How does oné take into account such problems
as divers sites of firing, firing of weapons
whose characteristics are not known,
in weapons type and burst
differences
4, Ave the present criteria for biological
damage adequate and are the related measurements adequate so that one could predict with
a certainty appropriate to policy-making the
future hazard, if any, owing to future weapons
firings - even if he could forecast how much
fallout there would be and what would happen
to it?
If the criteria are adequate, how
are they put together?
5.
If one had before himself a working definition
of hazard that was satisfactory from a moral
or ethical, social, political, and economic
point of view, and if this definition was
stated in terms of measureable or observable
phenomera in nature (including man), does
sufficient information exist so that he could
determine, again with a degree of certainty
appropriate to policy-making, whether or not a
hazardous situation exists now or will exist
in the future forvariou8S possible circumstances
of weapon firings and radioactive fallout?
Could he determine | ithe degree of hazard?
their answers are "no",
is it possible to
state what information is lacking and how
it might be obtained?
~ 23 -
If