Of paramount importance in the preparation of forecasts was a car+
ful ~lys

ie of the comprehendive, highly detailed observationsof weather

conditionsas re?orted by the we~ther reconnaissance8ircraft. These
plames reported such items as cloud cover at all levels, the temperature
and Mmidity, winds dt flight altitude~ and winds 4
emple

the surftice.AR

of the tremendous amount of detailed data is shown in Appendix L

In forecasting the velocity of the winds from the surface to 10,000
feet, the pressure gradixt at the surface between Wake and ~iwetok
proved helpful. Thie gradient when of the order of three millibars
produced winds of twelve (12) to fifteen (15) knot% and as long as the
gradient maintained itself, there was little chance of the winds becoming light and v=iable.

Light and variable wind conditionswere an im-

portant conslderdtlonbecause a detonation under these conditions could
result in a seriou~ radiologicalhazar&
Upper air charts drawn twice datly for 0300 and 1500 Zebra for the
850, 700, 500, 300, and 200 millibar surfaces were found to be very
helpful In forecasting upper winds to 60,000 feet. In nearly all caseu
it wktapossible to maintain an adequate history of troughs and ridges.
These troughs and ridges influencedthe winds as well as the weather.
Much of the informationon the movanent of syst~s used in the preparation of the 72 hour outlook,,wti obtained from the upper air charta.
A careful

Select target paragraph3