~ 18 - . “the stratospheric reservoir will be completely deposited on the earth's surface before any radioactive decay has occurred. More~- over, it will be assmed that the geographical distribution in the future will follow approximately the same distribution as has been true of the deposition of stratospheric debris in the past. This will tend to introduce an error on the side of safety since it would be expected that future fallout would be more uniform than in the past. Future Estimate of Sr-90 in Man As noted earlier, it will be assumed that essentially all of the 2.4 megacuries of Sr-90 stored in the stratosphere in mid-1956 will be deposited on earth's surface. occurred by about 1970. This will have It will be further assumed that stratospheric fallout in the future will be distributed in approximately the same pattern as the past. This discussion of future levels of Sr-90 in man will be based on data for the North Midwestern and Northeastern United States, where fallout is as high as in any region of the world for which data are available. The fellout levels in mid-1956 renged from 19 to 33 millicuries per square mile, the average being 25 no/ni®, Of this, about 6 me/mi” is the result of tropospheric fallout from tests prior to mid~1956. The stratospheric fallout of the past may thus be estimated as 19 millicuries per square mile. This was the level which existed when the world-wide deposition of Sr-90 was ebout l megacurie. When the 2.4 megacuries now in the stratosphere has deposited, the deposition in Northern United States may DOE ARCHIVES

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