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Joint Task Force 132
Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory
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Subject:
Report of Evacuation Flans Confereme.
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On the 10th of June, 1952, a conference was’teTaatomne’Bopibies.
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Scientific Laboratory for the purpose of discussing IVY| evacuation
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gienning in so far as such plans ere dependent on effects predictions of
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® last, thermal, water waves, and radiological] conditions.
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It was the concensus of the recognized authorities in the
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respective fields that results expected at Eniwetok from Mike shot are,
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YIELD
BEST COPY AVAILABLE
Expected 4 - 5 MI. Reasonably possible maximum 10 MT. Above 538
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@ 10 MT in the region of remote possibility.
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(Authority: Lt.Col. Francis Porzel, Group Leader, Blast Measurements
Group, Los Alamos Scientific Laboratory)
5 MT yield = On Enivetok 0.7 poBoie
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10 MI yield ~ On Eniwetok 0.9 potoi.
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LO MT yield < On Eniwetok 1.5 PoBoic
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For p.8.i. effects on Parry, add s factor of 15% to abore
For detailed calculations
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40391fleation shenged
by authority of the U.S, oe
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and date)
Washington, D. Co
THIS DOCUMENT CONSISTS OF2Pacers)
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mats ie ow og
L.
Eniwetok predictions,
of PoB8oin = Breaks glass; tears loose canvas.
Little, if any,
buckling of metal buildings. Peak equals wind of 4C/50 mph but of
momentary duration comparable to a short gust.