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DASA 2019-2

reduce the GNP and pupulation to something bke in the 1940's.

Is that a reasonable approximation?
AYRES:

Phe way | Jook at it,

BUSTAD

AYRES:

Yes,

in the 1940's,

onthe 1u40's,

That's the way it appears tome,

be back as far as L929,

REISE NBUD
DE BOERR

[ Laughter]

BISENBUD.

[t's unlikely we would

[would say.

Lobject most strenuously to this conclusion,
do,

too,

EP would say 1&49,

which 2s much better!

T would yo even further back than that.

[ don't think

[ would go to L400 but [ might po to about 1650 or 1700,
TAYLOR

You would stay in 1967,

There are certain things that

you know howto do now that you didn't know in 1940,

drastically reduced level of productivity.

but with some

How you translate this

back in time is meaninuless,

CONARD-

Ona per capita basis”

TAYLOR:

[think that's meaningless, too,

EISENBUD

Yes.

Fer capita is an industrial society is very dif-

ferent than per capita in an agrarian society.

TAYLOR: Exactly, We might become an ayrarian society in which
we tnivht ail be happier; I don't know,
EISENBUD: [think a hell of a lot depends on this point that Staff
made. If it's true, for example, that plants pet rusty as quickly as
he indicated.....
AYRES
[thought there was sorne misconception. I didn't think
he was answering the same guestion vou asked, His point was that
after a few days you would have to take the machinery apart and make
sure the bearinys are oilec, and so on,
FISENBUD:

Yes,

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