QE CDR
piecGrist
|However,
“the comparision method does minimize the disclosure of classified
information,
Dek.
eg
2 Hay
ay t
‘This method will be relatively costly; it is estimated
that about one million dollars will be required for the technical
program alone.
If this method is to be used it will be necessary
to start work on the rocket program immediately in order to
complete it in time for the demonstration shot.
It 18
estimated
that a minimum of five months would be required to prepare for
this type of demonstration.
Although this method will place an
added burden on the test organization it is felt that the Task
Force can accept the added load,
14. A third method,
also comparative in nature,
compares
fission yields on two shots by means of the surface fallout
contours.
Total yields would be compared as in the second method.
This method depends on the general observation that the area of
fallout times the intensity is proportional to the fission yield.
As a matter of fact, this method would give a direct verification
of the reduction in fallout.
However,
the credibility and
reliabilityof this method is extremely low,
The dependence of
fallout on meteorological conditions which will undoubtedly be
different for the two shots,
and the occurrence of hotspots
increase the probability that the data obtained may not prove the
~6-
a 1 rl th i r 3) yi aya
mrIh