gene?
Winds and observed winds during the period of SUAVO were sitbis

these observational limits,

On the last specific wind forecast

tesued at E minus & hours, there were ten (10) winds forecast to
be above 10 imots which can be cazpared with the observed winds

taken from the CURTISS at GRUVO hour.

Of these ten (10) winds,

siz (6) differed by 10 degrees, two (2) by 20 degrees, one (1)
by 0 degrees and one (1) by 40 degrees.

80 per cent of the

farecast winds which can be checked in the immediete locale vere
within observational limits imposed by the equipment itself.

The

errers of 30 degrees and 40 degrees were the farecasts for the
levels immediately ebove and below 16,000 feet.
COCLOSIONS:
Weather contitions during the five days prior to BRAVO day were

indicative of a favarable trend for BRAVO, involving on an average,

~~

‘

a.

The weatber situation presented at Zz

minus 6 hours for a 24 hour period was setisfactary; however, an upfavorable trend was predicted to occur during the following cl bows

si

nerthwest winds were forecast for the 10,000 to 20,000 foot

le

7 This trend ras borne out by leter observations.

be

The forecast wind directions were well within the normal forecast

exzror, which must pe esticipated.

Forecasts of the sexe precis.ca as

those made in areas of dense observation networks cannot be expected
in this erea.

The forecests of rings eloft for SAAVO were, nevercbe-

less, eprroaching the limits of Eiman ability enrich the ext at presect

aiiors.

aon

a

fren a fallout point of view.

-

GRAVO minus 2 and Suv0 minus 1 days were especially favarable

aes

above.

~t

easterly winds below 15,000 feet, with winds of a southerly component

e

6.

Select target paragraph3