is reduced) the soil in the stem becomes tore active, thus producing
heavy contamination immediately downwind.

The total percentage fall-

out increases with yield (when height is constant), but the percentage
fall-out from the mushroom decreases with increasing yield.

To a per=-;

son who has not analyzed the total fall-out picture and who only chooses
to utilize ground readings, the fall-out problem must appear even more

complex than it really is.

As a matter of fact, recently a set of

empirical relations has been develeped on fall-out from tower shots

utilizing only the ground readings from J/'K Test Operation.

The air

readings were not utilized out of impatience or lack of knowledge on

how to use them.

The T/S Test Cperation data were not used because

they were more difficult to reduce, since most of the fall-out during

T/S Test Cperations fortunately occurred North and Northeast of the
Test Site where there are very few good roads and very little popula-

tion.

Sure enough a set of relations were developed which indicated

intensity of fall-out to be independent of yield.

Here is a good

example of the need to evaluate all of the data before empirical relations are developed.
B.

Construction of the Forecast Fal.-out

l.

Particle

Size

Assume that the particle size distribution within a nominal

bomb expucded at 300 ft is 100 microns if the maximum cloud height does
not reach beyond 35,CCO ft msl.

The maximum cloud height is a function

of the yield, the height of the tropopause, the lapse rate of the atmosphere and the speed of the horizontal winds.

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A nominal bomb cloud will

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