130 MATHEMATICAL AIDS IN UNDERSTANDING OF BIOLOGICAL HAZARDS THE SHORTER-TERM BIOLOGICAL HAZARDS OF A FALLOUT FIELD showing that at about 6 feet above a con- taminatedfield e droppedoff to about 13013. Y This result was the cause of a great deal of uneasiness within the Radiological Safety group during Operation Greenhouse because the instruments were, as usual, measuring and recording gamma dose only. It was suggested that if reference 2 had included the effect of Compton scattering of gamma rays in air, perhaps the beta/gamma dose ratio would be less alarming. For this reason, in reference 4 an atiempt to include buildup or multiple seattering factors was made during Operation Greenhouse. Simple analytical treatments are not possible if buildup factors are to be considered. The approach used in reference 3 was a laborious numerical integration using certain empirical measurements of a buildup factor (4) that had become available. An example of how gamma dose at point 7 was obtainedis given in Table J. The contaminated ground was divided into unequal ring increments as in column 1. ¢ in column(2) is the net geometrical attenuation factor. Column (4) is the good geometry, narrow beam absorption factor. Column (5) was obtained from White [4]. In that work White used a Co” source and a water absorber, but the results were used in [3] without modification. nteremet @ ® © (6) @ m garding the beta/gamme dose ratio. Comparison of columns (4) and (5) shows how buildup only partially compensates for absorption. Beta dose in reference 4 was calculated using increment. meter of radius numerical integration method using, this time, ® game, aeemear| Maui| Bensageor| eantre| eins din om. equal ring increments. Distances greater than 6 meters were not considered significant. The distance for each ring is taken as d,, the distance to the midpoint(see fig. 4). 0. 09 ~ 25 -37 45 . 50 . 52 1.03 97 .37 «24 602 608 618 632 650 671 922 1081 1616 2571 0, 94 94 94 194 94 204 91 . 90 . 86 79 10 10 10 10 1.0 190 10 Li Lt 1.2 0. 08 24 2385 42 47 49 . 94 ~ 96 3. 50 2, 28 0. 08 .24 . 35 42 47 49 47 - 48 35 . 24 0. 72 2.16 3. 15 3. 78 423 442 8 46 8. 64 3L 5 20, 5 Pp 2.09 6059 - 56 15 176 - 09 15.8 Rog wo. OO 18 14 L. 67 1, 80 1,42 Lid a7 3551 4540 8022 10479 13514 16511 10509 1. 09 1,44 24007 27500 . 84 37500 97 . 68 450-500... ee ee eee eee w show that inclusionof multiple scattering makes a militarily significant change in the total gamma dose but does not radically change the conclusions of Condit, Dyson, and Lamb re- the method of Parker [5]. This is again a Tasty L—-GAMMA DOSE h=6 meters ay Column(7) takes into account the fact that the increments chosen are not of equal width. In column (7) note that for a height of 6 meters, maximum dose delivering efficiency occurs at about the 6-metor radius. In column (8) about half of the dose comes from inside the circle r==30 meters. For h=1 meter 50 percent comes from inside {2 meters (see fig. 2). Thus the net result of [8] was to . 66 32500 42500 47500 71 . 65 47 387 - 28 13 L4 L7 2.0 23 1, 66 1,27 1,25 1. 33 , 89 24 16 26 30 . 62 47 . 05 4.8 28 .10 07 . 08 . 02 OL 3.5 40 5.4 57 G4 - 38 ~32 14 . 08 . 04 Total. ..-----~.----..f--------- |e eee ee fen eee wee eee [ewe nee eee eee A sluilar table 1s necessary for each height desired. Comparison of column (5) with column (8) indicates that scatter secountsfor about 30 pereentof the total dose at P. . 16 14 14.9 114 . 06 - 04 13 12.0 02 . 009 5.6 42 - 03 - 006 . 005 . 003 he ( meter fluxes in air at points above a plane, in a foxhole, and so forth. This work continues even now, and the writer has the impression that the theories used are fundamentally powerful enough to give satisfactory mathematical solutions for any foresecable military medical problems due to fallout: hazard. In 1955 the multiple scattering theory was applied to beta particles [6] and another theoretical treatmentof the same subject. appeared (7}. These later, and professionally competent mathematical approaches yield results which agree with the physical measurements that have been made to date. So far as comparison is possible the results are notin disagreement with the conclusions reached in the crude attempts NBS groupinclude the use of anelectronic com- 4m 9 @ 6 G Beta dose at point P gamma dose as in Table I, gave beta/gamma ratios which were not significantly different av has been applied to the calculation of gamma a wide spectrum of opinion regarding the operational implications of these conclusions. The mathematical methods evolved by the 3.4 2.9 4 in cooperation with, the AFSWP mathemati- cians, the NBS theory of multiple scattering their theoretical conclusions and field measurements are essentially the same as ours. There is Fraure 4.—~Beta dose at point P, 13 For some years prior to 1952, the National Bureau of Standards group (Fano, Spencer, et al.) had been developing a mathematical theory concerning the penetration of X-rays through thick barriers. At the request of, and previously discussed. British and Canadian documents have become available in recent years which show that 80 21 131 Calculating beta dose in this manner, and from those in reference 2. Operation Greenhouse marked the end of what might be called the primitive era, since immediately afterward the AFSWP staff in Washington began to expend greater effort on the mathematics of fallout radiation. puter and, on the whole, appear to be beyond the ken of anybiologist or physician now available to work on fallout hazard. In this situation, any progress on medical problems will require that: A. The biologists concerned will have to accept. on faith mathematical conclusions which they do not really understand. B. The mathematician and the radiological physicist will have to be patient and endure diffuse and frustrating discussions of what really needs to be calculated and measured in order to develop an adequate medical policy.