. oi. SUMMARYAND RECOMMENDATIONS ' In anticipation of the widespread increased use of nuclear energy, it is time to think anew aboutradiation protection. We need standards for the major categories of radiation exposure, based insofar as possible on risk estimates and background) and the exposureof anyindividv- tivity involving radiation with the alternative options. Such analyses, crude though they must be at this time, are needed to provide a better public understanding of the issues and a sound basis for decision. These analyses should seek to clarify such matters as: (a) the environ- version of fissionable materia), (d) avoidance of on cost-benefit analyses which comparethe ac- mental and biological risks of given develop- ments, (b) a comparison of these risks with the benefits to be gained, (c) the feasibility and worth of reducing these environmental and biological risks, (d) the net benefit to societyof a given development as compared to thealter- native options. In the foreseeable future, the major contributors to radiation exposure of the population will continue to be natural background with an average whole-body dose of about 100 mrem/ year, and medical applications which nowcontribute comparable exposures to varions tis- sues of the body. Medica] exposures are not under control or guidance by regulation or law at present. The use of ionizing radiation in medicine is of tremendousvalue butit is essential to reduce exposures since this can be accomplished without loss of benefit and at relatively low cost. The aim is not only to reduce the radiation exposure to the individual but also to have procedures carried out with maximum efficiency so that there can be a continuing increase in medical benefits accompanied by a minimumradiation exposure. Concern about the nvsiear power industry arises because of its potential] magnitude and widespread distribution. Based on experience to date and present engineering judgment, the contribution to radiation exposure averaged over the U. S. population from the developing nuclear power industry can remain Jess than about 1 mrem per year (about 1% of natura] a) kept to a smal! fraction of background provided that there is: (a) attainment and longterm maintenance of anticipated engineering performance, (b) adequate managementof radioactive wastes, (c) contro] of sabotage and dicatastrophic accidents. The present Radiation Protection Guide for the general population was based on genetic considerations and conforms to the BEAR Committee recommendations that the average individual exposure be less than 10 R (Roent- gens) before the mean age of reproduction (30 years). The FRC did not include medica] radia- tion in its limits and set 5 rem as the 30-year limit (0.17 rem per year). Present estimates of genetic risk are ex- pressed in four ways: (a) Risk Relative to Natu- ra] Background Radiation. Exposure to man- made radiation below the level of background radiation will produce additional effects that are less in quantity and no different in kind from those which man has experienced and has been able to tolerate throughout his history. (b) Risk Estimates for Specific Genetic Conditions. The expected effect of radiation can be compared with current incidence of genetic effects by use of the concept of doubling dose (the dose required to produce a number of mu- tations equal to those which occur naturally). Based mainly on experimental studies in the mouse and Drosophila and with some support from observations of human populations in Hiroshima and Nagasaki, the doubling dose for chronic radiation in manis estimated to fal] in the range of 20-200 rem. It is calculated that the effect of 170 mrem per year (or 5 rem per 30-year reproduction generation) would cause in the first generation between 100 and 1800 cases of serious, dominant or X-linked diseases and defects per year (assuming 3.6 million births annually in the U.S.). This is an incidence of 0.05%. At equilibrium (approached after several generations) these numbers would DOE ARCHIVES 5-79 OO. 92-2

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