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NEWELL AND MILLER

eddies play a relatively important role in the lower stratosphere, as

noted earlier by Murakami.” This point will be mentioned again later
in the paper. The zone of forced motion in the lower stratosphere has

been investigated in detail from IGY data by Barnes”! and Oort,‘® and

both find that zonal available potential energy is created in this region.

MASS TRANSFER
How is mass transported in this system? We may write an equation for the poleward transport in a (hypothetical) meridional plane:”*

[QV] = [Q][V] + [Q*V*] + [Q’V’]
where Q represents a particular property such as the concentration of
a trace substance and V represents the north to south componentof the
wind. Primes denote deviations from a time average, and asterisks, a
deviation from a zonal average; bars denote time averages, and
brackets, averages around a latitude circle. The left-hand side of the
equation represents the average poleward flux of a property over a
given period, say one month. The first term on the right-hand side
represents the portion of the total transport due to mean meridional
motions, the second is that due to transient eddies, and the third is

that due to so-called “standing eddies,” which are in reality the quasi-

stationary large-scale flow pattern evident on mean maps. A similar

equation with the vertical velocity, W,inplace of V may also be written,
but the terms are difficult to evaluate because of the uncertainties
regarding estimates of W.
When Q represents heat or momentum, it has been found that for
the lowest 25 km of the atmosphere in extratropical regions the

transient and standing eddy terms are sufficient to balance the appropriate

budgets. Are

they

also

sufficient

to balance the mass

budget? The paper presented at the previous AEC fallout conference”
based upon ozone data suggested that they are in the region of the
lower stratosphere.

Prior to 1960 it was generally considered that mean meridional

motions were of prime importance in the lower stratosphere. One of

the major difficulties of such ideas is that they are not consistent with
the findings concerning the momentum and the energy budgets. The
equatorward and upward motion of U.S.S.R. debris is also difficult to
reconcile with a poleward meridional motion throughout. However,
this is not to imply that the meridional motions are unimportant as
Barnes”? emphasized at the previous AEC fallout conference. Since

that time three of our colleagues have given thought to the problem.

Oort*4 collected all our IGY data (230 stations) on the mean meridional
motion and constructed a coherent picture of the results at 100, 50,

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